Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Hazem win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Al Najma had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Hazem win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Al Najma win was 2-1 (7.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.