Russian Premier League
Jul 31, 2026 6.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Rodina
  • Iker Pozo 4' goal
  • Ilya Dyatlov 13' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Fishchenko 48' yellowcard
  • Oumar Sako 74' goal
  • goal Ivan Komarov 16'
  • yellowcard Konstantin Kuchaev 49'
  • goal Mitja Križan 52' (OG)
  • goal Andrey Langovich 56'
  • goal Daniil Shantaliy 90'

Rodina Moskva vs Rostov - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 6.45pm
Spartak Moscow 3 - 0 Rodina Moskva

Rostov

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 5.30pm
Orenburg 2 - 1 Rostov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Rodina Moskva had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Rodina Moskva win was 1-0 (9.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%).

Result

Rodina Moskva 33.05% (-0.02)
Draw 27.48% (+0.02)
Rostov 39.47%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.77% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.15% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.85% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 45.94% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 54.06% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.73% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74.24% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 13.92% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.08% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Rodina Moskva 26.71% (+0.09)
Draw 43.57% (+0.03)
Rostov 29.73% (-0.10)

Team To Score First

Rodina Moskva 42.41% (+0.16)
No Goal 8.89% (+0.01)
Rostov 48.7% (-0.17)

Corners

Over 8 53.3% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.51% (+0.01)
Under 8 35.2% (+0.09)
Over 9 41.98% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.32%
Under 9 46.7% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 31.73% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 68.27% (+0.05)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 1.5 32.02% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 67.98% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 11.27% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.73% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.36% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.64% (+0.02)

Rostov Goals

Over 0.5 70.48% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.52% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 36.93%
Under 1.5 63.07%
Over 2.5 15.39% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.61% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.32% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.68% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Rodina Moskva 33.04%
Draw 27.48%
Rostov 39.46%
Rodina Moskva
1-0 @ 9.44% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.38%
2-0 @ 5.92% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.97% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.28% (-0.02)
Total : 33.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.89% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 27.48%
Rostov
0-1 @ 10.5% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.85% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.69% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.24% (+0.01)
Total : 39.46%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Feb 1, 2026 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT 321 Sports Stadium
  • goal 79'