Russian Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 24, 2026 1.00pm
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Fakel vs Rodina Moskva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 12.00pm
Krylia Sovetov 1 - 2 Fakel
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Vyacheslav Yakimov

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Oct 19, 2026 5.30pm
Rodina Moskva 2 - 2 Orenburg
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Artem Maksimenko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fakel win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Rodina Moskva has a probability of 28.09% and a draw has a probability of 27.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Rodina Moskva win is 0-1 (8.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.3%).

Result

Fakel 44.89% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 27.02%
Rodina Moskva 28.09% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.09% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 29.15% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 45.98% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 54.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 24.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 75.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.81% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Fakel 34.47%
Draw 44.78%
Rodina Moskva 20.74%

Team To Score First

Fakel 53.03% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 8.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Rodina Moskva 38.13%

Corners

Over 8 59.71%
Equal 8 11.32%
Under 8 28.97%
Over 9 48%
Equal 9 11.71%
Under 9 40.29%
Over 10.5 36.89%
Under 10.5 63.11%

Fakel Goals

Over 1.5 40.86% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 59.14% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 17.15% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 82.85% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.39% ▼ (-0.04)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 0.5 62.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 37.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 27.78% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 72.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 90.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.4% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Fakel 44.88%
Draw 27.02%
Rodina Moskva 28.09%
Fakel
1-0 @ 11.66%
2-1 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.45%
Other @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 44.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 8.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 27.02%
Rodina Moskva
0-1 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.67% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 28.09%