Russian Premier League Gameweek 9
Sep 16, 2026 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Rodina
  • Brian Ezequiel Mansilla 30' yellowcard
  • Leon Musaev 50' yellowcard
  • Deiver Machado 79' goal
  • yellowcard Veldin Hodza 41'
  • yellowcard Ilya Rozhkov 50'
  • yellowcard Jacques Siwe 59'
  • goal Anderson Arroyo 82'

Rodina Moskva vs Rubin Kazan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 4.00pm
Krylia Sovetov 2 - 1 Rodina Moskva
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Artem Maksimenko

Rubin Kazan

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 6.45pm
CSKA 1 - 1 Rubin Kazan
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Anderson Arroyo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Rodina Moskva had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Rodina Moskva win was 1-0 (9.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Rodina Moskva 31.81% ▼ (-1.55)
Draw 28.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Rubin Kazan 40.07% ▲ (+1.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.34% ▼ (-0.87)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.57% ▼ (-1.08)
Under 1.5 29.43% ▲ (+1.08)
Over 2.5 45.3% ▼ (-1.33)
Under 2.5 54.7% ▲ (+1.33)
Over 3.5 23.96% ▼ (-1.12)
Under 3.5 76% ▲ (+1.08)
Over 4.5 12.56% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 4.5 87.44% ▲ (+0.68)

First Half Winner

Rodina Moskva 27.92% ▲ (+0.42)
Draw 44.82% ▼ (-0.90)
Rubin Kazan 27.26% ▲ (+0.50)

Team To Score First

Rodina Moskva 48.54% ▼ (-0.75)
No Goal 8.93% ▲ (+0.45)
Rubin Kazan 42.53% ▲ (+0.31)

Corners

Over 8 56.62% ▲ (+1.22)
Equal 8 11.52% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 8 31.86% ▼ (-1.32)
Over 9 45.02% ▲ (+1.03)
Equal 9 11.6% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 9 43.38% ▼ (-1.22)
Over 10.5 34.29% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 10.5 65.71% ▼ (-0.80)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 1.5 30.77% ▼ (-2.14)
Under 1.5 69.23% ▲ (+2.15)
Over 2.5 10.8% ▼ (-1.17)
Under 2.5 89.2% ▲ (+1.18)
Over 3.5 3.1% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 3.5 96.9% ▲ (+0.43)

Rubin Kazan Goals

Over 0.5 71.17% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 0.5 28.83% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 1.5 37% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 63% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 14.62% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 85.38% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.6% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.4% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Rodina Moskva 31.8%
Draw 28.09%
Rubin Kazan 40.07%
Rodina Moskva
1-0 @ 9.39% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.36)
2-0 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.24)
3-0 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.36)
Total : 31.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.02% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.45)
2-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.29)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 28.09%
Rubin Kazan
0-1 @ 11.07% ▲ (+0.59)
1-2 @ 8.61% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.41)
1-3 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 40.07%