Russian Premier League Gameweek 9
Sep 16, 2026 4.30pm
Stadion Rodina

Rodina Moskva vs Rubin Kazan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 4.00pm
Krylia Sovetov 2 - 1 Rodina Moskva
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Artem Maksimenko

Rubin Kazan

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 6.45pm
CSKA 1 - 1 Rubin Kazan
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Jacques Siwe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Rodina Moskva has a probability of 31.81% and a draw has a probability of 28.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Rodina Moskva win is 1-0 (9.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.02%).

Result

Rodina Moskva 31.81% (-1.55)
Draw 28.08% (+0.02)
Rubin Kazan 40.07% (+1.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.34% (-0.87)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.57% (-1.08)
Under 1.5 29.43% (+1.08)
Over 2.5 45.3% (-1.33)
Under 2.5 54.7% (+1.33)
Over 3.5 23.96% (-1.12)
Under 3.5 76% (+1.08)
Over 4.5 12.56% (-0.68)
Under 4.5 87.44% (+0.68)

First Half Winner

Rodina Moskva 27.92% (+0.42)
Draw 44.82% (-0.90)
Rubin Kazan 27.26% (+0.50)

Team To Score First

Rodina Moskva 48.54% (-0.75)
No Goal 8.93% (+0.45)
Rubin Kazan 42.53% (+0.31)

Corners

Over 8 56.62% (+1.22)
Equal 8 11.52% (+0.10)
Under 8 31.86% (-1.32)
Over 9 45.02% (+1.03)
Equal 9 11.6% (+0.19)
Under 9 43.38% (-1.22)
Over 10.5 34.29% (+0.79)
Under 10.5 65.71% (-0.80)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 1.5 30.77% (-2.14)
Under 1.5 69.23% (+2.15)
Over 2.5 10.8% (-1.17)
Under 2.5 89.2% (+1.18)
Over 3.5 3.1% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 96.9% (+0.43)

Rubin Kazan Goals

Over 0.5 71.17% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 28.83% (-0.35)
Over 1.5 37% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 63% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 14.62% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 85.38% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.6% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.4% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Rodina Moskva 31.8%
Draw 28.09%
Rubin Kazan 40.07%
Rodina Moskva
1-0 @ 9.39% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.36)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.23)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.24)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.25)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.12)
Other @ 2.94% (-0.36)
Total : 31.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.02% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.93% (+0.45)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.29)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.08)
Total : 28.09%
Rubin Kazan
0-1 @ 11.07% (+0.59)
1-2 @ 8.61% (+0.18)
0-2 @ 6.87% (+0.41)
1-3 @ 3.61% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 3.25% (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.11)
Other @ 4.44% (+0.13)
Total : 40.07%