Aug 24, 2026 6.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Kaliningrad Stadium

S. Varatynov 90'+4'

Jacques Siwe 8'
Aleksandar Jukic 79'

Baltika vs Rubin Kazan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Baltika

All competitions

L
W
W
L
D
D

Russian Premier League

L
W
W
L
L
L

Last game

Aug 16, 2026 5.30pm

Baltika 1 - 2 Spartak Moscow

Goals scored

7

Top scorer

B. Gil

Rubin Kazan

All competitions

D
D
W
L
D
W

Russian Premier League

D
D
W
L
D
L

Last game

Aug 15, 2026 4.30pm

Rostov 1 - 1 Rubin Kazan

Goals scored

6

Top scorer

Mirlind Daku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (9.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result

Baltika 41.47%

Draw 28.37% ▲ (+0.05)

Rubin Kazan 30.13% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score:

49.26% ▼ (-0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.62% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 1.5 30.38% ▲ (+0.13)

Over 2.5 44.08% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 2.5 55.92% ▲ (+0.15)

Over 3.5 23.37% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 3.5 76.63% ▲ (+0.15)

Over 4.5 12.27% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 4.5 87.73% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Baltika 29.19% ▼ (-0.03)

Draw 48.09% ▼ (-0.03)

Rubin Kazan 22.72% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Baltika 51.11% ▼ (-0.05)

No Goal 9.26% ▲ (+0.04)

Rubin Kazan 39.63% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 44.2% ▼ (-0.16)

Equal 8 12.05% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 8 43.75% ▲ (+0.19)

Over 9 33.16% ▼ (-0.14)

Equal 9 11.04% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 9 55.8% ▲ (+0.16)

Over 10.5 23.84% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 10.5 76.16% ▲ (+0.10)

Baltika Goals

Over 1.5 37.61% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 1.5 62.39% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 2.5 14.74% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 2.5 85.26% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 3.5 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 95.14% ▲ (+0.02)

Rubin Kazan Goals

Over 0.5 63.46% ▼ (-0.12)

Under 0.5 36.54% ▲ (+0.12)

Over 1.5 28.55% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 1.5 71.45% ▲ (+0.14)

Over 2.5 10.14% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 89.86% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 3.5 2.81% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 3.5 97.19% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Baltika 41.47%

Draw 28.38%

Rubin Kazan 30.13%

Baltika

1-0 @ 11.65% ▲ (+0.06)

2-1 @ 8.54%

2-0 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.04)

3-1 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.03)

3-0 @ 3.31%

3-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.05)

Other @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.03)

Total : 41.47%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.23% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.04)

2-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 28.38%

Rubin Kazan

0-1 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.02)

1-2 @ 6.95%

0-2 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.05)

1-3 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.03)

0-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 1.9%

Other @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.05)

Total : 30.13%

Head to Head

May 2, 2026 2.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Complexe Sportif Jean Bianchi 1

Ivan Belikov 46'
Nikolai Titkov 46'
T. Yenne 62'
Vladislav Pospelov 62'
Eduardo Anderson 85'

Mirlind Daku 29'
Ruslan Bezrukov 63'
Daler Kuzyaev 79'
Jacques Siwe 79'
Aleksey Gritsaenko 89'
Daniil Kuznetsov 89'

Oct 19, 2025 3.00pm

0

3

HT : 0 0

FT

Dec 10, 2023 4.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 2

FT Baltika Stadium

Nikola Radmanovac 18'
Maksim Kuzmin 23'

Mirlind Daku 7'
Mirlind Daku 7'
Aleksey Gritsaenko 37'

Oct 27, 2023 5.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Kazan' Arena

Dmitry Kabutov 44'
Valentin Vada 88'

Nathan Gassama 9'
Nikola Radmanovac 54'
Sergey Ignashevich 87'
Guillermo Soto 89'
Gedeon Guzina 90'+2'

Form Data

Baltika 1 - 2 Spartak Moscow

Krylia Sovetov 0 - 2 Baltika

Baltika 2 - 1 Dynamo Moscow

CSKA 2 - 1 Baltika

Krasnodar 1 - 1 Baltika

Akron 0 - 0 Baltika

Rostov 1 - 1 Rubin Kazan

Rubin Kazan 1 - 1 Orenburg

Akron 1 - 2 Rubin Kazan

Rubin Kazan 1 - 3 Krasnodar

Lokomotiv 0 - 0 Rubin Kazan

Lokomotiv 1 - 3 Rubin Kazan