Russian Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 11, 2026 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Samara Arena
  • Martin Kramaric 64' goal
  • Nikita Chernov 65' yellowcard
  • Kirill Stolbov 88' goal
  • yellowcard Artem Sokol 35'
  • goal Ivan Timoshenko 59'
  • yellowcard Iker Pozo 65'
  • yellowcard Yordy Reyna 73'
  • yellowcard Artem Meshchaninov 87'
  • yellowcard Mickaël Nadé 90'+3'

Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Krylia Sovetov

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.00pm
Krylia Sovetov 2 - 2 Krasnodar
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Nikita Chernov

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 2.15pm
Makhachkala 2 - 0 Rodina Moskva
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Artem Maksimenko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.36% and a win for Rodina Moskva had a probability of 26.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%) , while for a Rodina Moskva win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Krylia Sovetov 47.4% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 26.36%
Rodina Moskva 26.24% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.54% ▲ (+0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.15% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 27.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 46.82% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 53.18% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 25.45% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 74.55% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 13.92% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 86.08% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Krylia Sovetov 32.32% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 42.57% ▲ (+0.08)
Rodina Moskva 25.11% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Krylia Sovetov 50.96% ▲ (+0.11)
No Goal 8.37% ▼ (-0.05)
Rodina Moskva 40.67% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 56.8% ▼ (-0.21)
Equal 8 12.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 31.15% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 9 44.6% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 9 12.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 43.2% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 10.5 33.31% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 66.69% ▲ (+0.11)

Krylia Sovetov Goals

Over 1.5 43.02% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 56.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.63% ▼ (-0.03)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 0.5 60.76% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 39.24% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 1.5 26.73% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 73.27% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 8.27% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 91.73% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 2.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.74% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Krylia Sovetov 47.4%
Draw 26.36%
Rodina Moskva 26.24%
Krylia Sovetov
1-0 @ 11.68% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.67%
3-0 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 47.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.36%
Rodina Moskva
0-1 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 26.24%