Russian Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 11, 2026 4.00pm
Samara Arena

Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Krylia Sovetov

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.00pm
Krylia Sovetov 1 - 2 Krasnodar
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Nikita Chernov

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 2.15pm
Makhachkala 2 - 0 Rodina Moskva
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Artem Maksimenko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw has a probability of 26.36% and a win for Rodina Moskva has a probability of 26.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.48%) , while for a Rodina Moskva win it is 0-1 (7.82%).

Result

Krylia Sovetov 47.5% (+0.58)
Draw 26.36% (+0.06)
Rodina Moskva 26.14% (-0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.34% (-1.67)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.04% (-1.15)
Under 1.5 27.96% (+1.16)
Over 2.5 46.63% (-2.38)
Under 2.5 53.37% (+2.38)
Over 3.5 25.33% (-1.57)
Under 3.5 74.67% (+1.57)
Over 4.5 13.87% (-1.07)
Under 4.5 86.13% (+1.07)

First Half Winner

Krylia Sovetov 32.39% (-1.58)
Draw 42.49% (+1.61)
Rodina Moskva 25.12% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Krylia Sovetov 50.85% (-0.31)
No Goal 8.41% (+0.45)
Rodina Moskva 40.74% (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 57% (-4.71)
Equal 8 12.07% (+1.00)
Under 8 30.93% (+3.72)
Over 9 44.75% (-5.30)
Equal 9 12.25% (+0.60)
Under 9 43% (+4.71)
Over 10.5 33.42% (-5.41)
Under 10.5 66.58% (+5.41)

Krylia Sovetov Goals

Over 1.5 42.99% (-1.02)
Under 1.5 57.01% (+1.02)
Over 2.5 18.74% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 81.26% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 6.35% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 93.65% (+0.40)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 0.5 60.64% (-1.43)
Under 0.5 39.36% (+1.43)
Over 1.5 26.58% (-1.50)
Under 1.5 73.42% (+1.49)
Over 2.5 8.19% (-1.03)
Under 2.5 91.81% (+1.02)
Over 3.5 2.24% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 97.76% (+0.29)

Score analysis

Krylia Sovetov 47.5%
Draw 26.37%
Rodina Moskva 26.15%
Krylia Sovetov
1-0 @ 11.75% (+0.70)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.39)
2-0 @ 8.69% (+0.69)
3-1 @ 4.67% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.07)
Other @ 6.34% (-0.34)
Total : 47.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% (+0.40)
0-0 @ 8.41% (+0.45)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.46)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.07)
Total : 26.37%
Rodina Moskva
0-1 @ 7.82% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.21% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.32)
Other @ 2.23% (-0.23)
Total : 26.15%