Russian Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 15, 2026 12.00pm
Stadion Rodina

Rodina Moskva vs Akron Tolyatti - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 3.00pm
Zenit 1 - 2 Rodina Moskva

Akron Tolyatti

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 4.00pm
Lokomotiv 0 - 0 Akron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rodina Moskva win with a probability of 49.79%. A draw has a probability of 25.54% and a win for Akron Tolyatti has a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rodina Moskva win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.55%) , while for a Akron Tolyatti win it is 0-1 (6.72%).

Result

Rodina Moskva 49.79% (-0.11)
Draw 25.54% (+0.01)
Akron Tolyatti 24.67% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.73% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.46% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 24.54% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 51.77% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 48.23% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 29.61% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 70.39% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 16.99% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 83.01% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Rodina Moskva 40.97% (+0.02)
Draw 41.02%
Akron Tolyatti 18.01% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Rodina Moskva 57.75% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.32% (+0.03)
Akron Tolyatti 34.93% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.21%
Equal 8 10.93%
Under 8 28.86% (+0.01)
Over 9 48.91%
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 39.79%
Over 10.5 38.15% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 61.85% (+0.01)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 1.5 47.78% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 52.22% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 22.67% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 77.33% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 8.82% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 91.18% (+0.06)

Akron Tolyatti Goals

Over 0.5 60.21% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 39.79% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 27.34%
Under 1.5 72.66%
Over 2.5 9.47%
Under 2.5 90.53%
Over 3.5 2.71%
Under 3.5 97.29%

Score analysis

Rodina Moskva 49.78%
Draw 25.53%
Akron Tolyatti 24.67%
Rodina Moskva
1-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.6% (-0.06)
Total : 49.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 7.32% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 25.53%
Akron Tolyatti
0-1 @ 6.72% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.12% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.71% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.24% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 24.67%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 2, 2026 1.00am
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Khetag Khosonov 20'
  • goal Slobodan Tedic 45'+2'
  • goal Nikita Bazilevskiy 59'
  • goal Egor Vedernikov 80'
  • goal Ruslan Metkalov 118'