Russian Premier League
Aug 9, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Gazprom Arena
  • Maksim Glushenkov 23' goal
  • Wendel 30' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dmitriy Tananeev 41'
  • goal Artur Gharibyan 59'
  • goal Artur Gharibyan 65'

Zenit St Petersburg vs Rodina Moskva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 2.00pm
Orenburg 0 - 3 Zenit

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Jul 31, 2026 6.00pm
Rodina Moskva 2 - 4 Rostov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 67.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.58% and a win for Rodina Moskva had a probability of 10.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.93%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%) , while for a Rodina Moskva win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Zenit St Petersburg 67.71% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 21.58% ▼ (-0.06)
Rodina Moskva 10.72% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.74% ▼ (-0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.35% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 28.65% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 46.51% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 53.49% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 25.49% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 74.51% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 16.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 83.93% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Zenit St Petersburg 49.77% ▼ (-0.19)
Draw 36.4% ▲ (+0.13)
Rodina Moskva 13.83% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Zenit St Petersburg 67.33% ▼ (-0.07)
No Goal 8.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Rodina Moskva 24.19% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 56.39% ▼ (-0.12)
Equal 8 11.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 31.82% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 44.55% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 9 11.84%
Under 9 43.61% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 10.5 33.65% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 10.5 66.35% ▲ (+0.12)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 1.5 56.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 43.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 29.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 70.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 12.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 87.55% ▲ (+0.02)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 0.5 40.86% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 0.5 59.14% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 1.5 11.84% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 88.16% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 2.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 97.73% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 0.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99.49% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Zenit St Petersburg 67.71%
Draw 21.59%
Rodina Moskva 10.72%
Zenit St Petersburg
1-0 @ 15.55% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 13.93% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 12.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 67.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 21.59%
Rodina Moskva
0-1 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 10.72%