Russian Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 9, 2026 3.00pm
Gazprom Arena

Zenit St Petersburg vs Rodina Moskva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 2.00pm
Orenburg 0 - 3 Zenit

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Jul 31, 2026 6.00pm
Rodina Moskva 2 - 4 Rostov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw has a probability of 21.63% and a win for Rodina Moskva has a probability of 10.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.84%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.62%) , while for a Rodina Moskva win it is 0-1 (4.65%).

Result

Zenit St Petersburg 67.56% (+0.69)
Draw 21.63% (-0.13)
Rodina Moskva 10.82% (-0.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.97% (-0.90)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.44% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 28.56% (+0.28)
Over 2.5 46.63% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 53.37% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 25.59% (-0.92)
Under 3.5 74.41% (+0.91)
Over 4.5 16.14% (-0.54)
Under 4.5 83.86% (+0.55)

First Half Winner

Zenit St Petersburg 49.96% (+2.31)
Draw 36.27% (-1.08)
Rodina Moskva 13.78% (-1.22)

Team To Score First

Zenit St Petersburg 67.39% (+1.80)
No Goal 8.44% (-0.01)
Rodina Moskva 24.17% (-1.78)

Corners

Over 8 56.51% (+3.07)
Equal 8 11.78% (-0.32)
Under 8 31.72% (-2.75)
Over 9 44.67% (+3.11)
Equal 9 11.84% (-0.05)
Under 9 43.49% (-3.07)
Over 10.5 33.77% (+2.91)
Under 10.5 66.23% (-2.90)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 1.5 56.21% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 43.79% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 29.55% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 70.45% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 12.47% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 87.53% (+0.13)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 0.5 41.12% (-0.78)
Under 0.5 58.88% (+0.78)
Over 1.5 11.97% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 88.03% (+0.69)
Over 2.5 2.31% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 97.69% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 0.53% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 99.47% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Zenit St Petersburg 67.56%
Draw 21.62%
Rodina Moskva 10.82%
Zenit St Petersburg
1-0 @ 15.47% (+0.36)
2-0 @ 13.84% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.18% (+0.22)
3-0 @ 8.73% (+0.40)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.12)
Other @ 12.4% (-0.13)
Total : 67.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.08% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 21.62%
Rodina Moskva
0-1 @ 4.65% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 2.99% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.35% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.46% (-0.13)
Total : 10.82%