Russian Premier League
Aug 23, 2026 1.15pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT VTB Arena (Moskva)
  • Timofey Marinkin 24' yellowcard
  • K. Tyukavin 38' goal
  • K. Tyukavin 50' goal
  • Anton Miranchuk 56' goal
  • Y. Gladyshev 69' yellowcard
  • David Ricardo 83' yellowcard
  • Ivan Sergeev 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stanislav Bessmertniy 27'
  • goal Iker Pozo 31'
  • yellowcard Iker Pozo 85'

Dynamo Moscow vs Rodina Moskva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dynamo Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 12.30pm
Zenit 3 - 0 Dynamo Moscow
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
K. Tyukavin

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 12.00pm
Rodina Moskva 3 - 3 Akron
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Artem Maksimenko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.13% and a win for Rodina Moskva had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.97%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%) , while for a Rodina Moskva win it was 1-2 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Dynamo Moscow 53.48% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 24.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Rodina Moskva 22.35%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.68% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 22.65% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 54.61% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 45.39% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 31.89% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 68.11% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 18.72% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 81.28% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Dynamo Moscow 44.71%
Draw 37.16%
Rodina Moskva 18.13%

Team To Score First

Dynamo Moscow 61.82%
No Goal 6.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Rodina Moskva 31.72% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.16%
Equal 8 11.11%
Under 8 27.72%
Over 9 49.53%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 38.84%
Over 10.5 38.36%
Under 10.5 61.64%

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 51.82% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 48.18% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 26.03% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 73.97% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 10.45% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 89.55% ▲ (+0.07)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 0.5 59.05%
Under 0.5 40.95%
Over 1.5 26.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.62% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Dynamo Moscow 53.49%
Draw 24.13%
Rodina Moskva 22.35%
Dynamo Moscow
1-0 @ 10.13% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.97%
2-0 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.41%
3-2 @ 3.22%
Other @ 10.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 53.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.13%
Rodina Moskva
1-2 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.03%
0-2 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 22.35%