Russian Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 23, 2026 1.15pm
VTB Arena (Moskva)

Dynamo Moscow vs Rodina Moskva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dynamo Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 12.30pm
Zenit 3 - 0 Dynamo Moscow

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 12.00pm
Rodina Moskva 3 - 3 Akron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw has a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rodina Moskva has a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.97%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.97%) , while for a Rodina Moskva win it is 1-2 (6.16%).

Result

Dynamo Moscow 53.55% (-4.31)
Draw 24.1% (+0.41)
Rodina Moskva 22.35% (+3.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.71% (+2.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.42% (+1.47)
Under 1.5 22.58% (-1.48)
Over 2.5 54.71% (+2.36)
Under 2.5 45.29% (-2.36)
Over 3.5 31.99% (+2.13)
Under 3.5 68.01% (-2.13)
Over 4.5 18.8% (+0.77)
Under 4.5 81.2% (-0.76)

First Half Winner

Dynamo Moscow 44.71% (-1.84)
Draw 37.16% (-0.59)
Rodina Moskva 18.13% (+2.42)

Team To Score First

Dynamo Moscow 61.82% (-2.75)
No Goal 6.45% (-0.52)
Rodina Moskva 31.73% (+3.27)

Corners

Over 8 61.16% (+0.96)
Equal 8 11.11% (-0.30)
Under 8 27.72% (-0.68)
Over 9 49.53% (+1.18)
Equal 9 11.64% (-0.21)
Under 9 38.84% (-0.96)
Over 10.5 38.36% (+1.29)
Under 10.5 61.64% (-1.29)

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 51.9% (-1.54)
Under 1.5 48.1% (+1.54)
Over 2.5 26.11% (-1.18)
Under 2.5 73.89% (+1.19)
Over 3.5 10.52% (-0.89)
Under 3.5 89.48% (+0.89)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 0.5 59.05% (+4.77)
Under 0.5 40.95% (-4.77)
Over 1.5 26.23% (+4.68)
Under 1.5 73.77% (-4.69)
Over 2.5 8.44% (+2.62)
Under 2.5 91.56% (-2.63)
Over 3.5 2.39% (+0.95)
Under 3.5 97.61% (-0.94)

Score analysis

Dynamo Moscow 53.53%
Draw 24.1%
Rodina Moskva 22.36%
Dynamo Moscow
1-0 @ 10.09% (-1.27)
2-1 @ 9.97% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 8.69% (-1.22)
3-1 @ 5.85% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.76)
3-2 @ 3.22% (+0.07)
Other @ 10.3% (-1.02)
Total : 53.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.52)
2-2 @ 5.35% (+0.60)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.22% (+0.15)
Total : 24.1%
Rodina Moskva
1-2 @ 6.16% (+0.97)
0-1 @ 6.03% (+0.32)
0-2 @ 3.06% (+0.44)
1-3 @ 1.98% (+0.63)
2-3 @ 1.78% (+0.51)
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.17% (+0.80)
Total : 22.36%