Russian Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2026 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Gazprom Arena
  • Aleksandr Sobolev 29' goal
  • Aleksandr Sobolev 33' goal
  • K. Andrade 59' yellowcard
  • Maksim Glushenkov 69' yellowcard
  • Maksim Glushenkov 87' goal
  • yellowcard Juan José Cáceres 80'
  • yellowcard David Ricardo 86'

Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Moscow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 3.00pm
Zenit 1 - 2 Rodina Moskva

Dynamo Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 12.30pm
Dynamo Moscow 3 - 1 Makhachkala

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.36% and a win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%) , while for a Dynamo Moscow win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Zenit St Petersburg 54.49% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 24.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Dynamo Moscow 21.19% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.1% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 48.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 51.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 26.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 73.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 15.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 84.82% ▲ (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Zenit St Petersburg 35.8% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 42.48% ▼ (-0.10)
Dynamo Moscow 21.72% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Zenit St Petersburg 55.91% ▲ (+0.20)
No Goal 7.73%
Dynamo Moscow 36.36% ▼ (-0.21)

Corners

Over 8 59.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.16%
Under 8 29.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 9 47.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.48%
Under 9 40.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 36.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 63.29% ▼ (-0.04)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 1.5 48.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 51.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.67% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 77.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 8.54%
Under 3.5 91.46%

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 55.84%
Under 0.5 44.16%
Over 1.5 22.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 77.66% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 6.58% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 93.42% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 1.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.26% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Zenit St Petersburg 54.49%
Draw 24.35%
Dynamo Moscow 21.18%
Zenit St Petersburg
1-0 @ 12.47%
2-0 @ 10.05% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 54.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.35%
Dynamo Moscow
0-1 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 21.18%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 22
Mar 22, 2026 1.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT VTB Arena (Moskva)
  • Arthur Gomes 37' goal
  • Roberto Fernandez 46' yellowcard
  • Ivan Sergeev 67' yellowcard
  • Y. Gladyshev 75' yellowcard
  • U. Babaev 75' yellowcard
  • E. Maouhoub 78' yellowcard
  • goal Jhon Jhon 22'
  • goal Aleksandr Sobolev 43'
  • yellowcard Vanja Drkusic 66'
  • goal Maksim Glushenkov 85'
  • yellowcard Jhon Durán 87'
  • yellowcard Daniil Kondakov 88'
  • yellowcard Nuraly Alip 90'
  • yellowcard Andrey Mostovoy 90'
Club Friendlies 3
Feb 3, 2026 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Gazprom Arena
  • Aleksandr Erokhin 33' goal
  • Nino 76' goal
  • goal Bitello 59'
Russian Premier League
Oct 26, 2025 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 26
Apr 26, 2025 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT VTB Arena (Moskva)
  • Yaroslav Gladyshev 41' goal
  • Daniil Fomin 47' yellowcard
  • Roberto Fernandez 67' yellowcard
  • goal Pedrinho 18'
  • yellowcard Wilmar Barrios 60'
  • yellowcard Wilmar Barrios 90'+2'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 10, 2024 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Saint Petersburg Stadium
  • Maksim Glushenkov 55' goal
  • Maksim Glushenkov 57' yellowcard
  • Claudinho 69' yellowcard
  • Wilmar Barrios 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorge Carrascal 47'
  • yellowcard Moumi Ngamaleu 62'
  • yellowcard Eli Dasa 89'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 26
Apr 28, 2024 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Khimki
  • Konstantin Tyukavin 76' goal
  • Fyodor Smolov 90' yellowcard