Russian Premier League Gameweek 7
Rostov
Sep 5, 2026 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Central’nyj im. I.P. Chayka
Fakel
  • Oumar Sako 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Aleksey Mironov 56' goal
  • Konstantin Kuchaev 59' goal
  • Oumar Sako 64' goal
  • yellowcard H. El Mhassani 4'
  • yellowcard Butta Magomedov 72'
  • goal Aleksandr Koksharov 89'
  • yellowcard Belajdi Pusi 90'+1'

Rostov vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rostov

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.30pm
Krasnodar 1 - 0 Rostov
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Timur Suleymanov

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 1.00pm
Fakel 0 - 1 Zenit
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Vyacheslav Yakimov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Fakel win was 0-1 (9.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Rostov 42.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 28.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Fakel 29.08%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.02% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 32.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 41.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 58.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 78.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 88.88% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Rostov 27.9%
Draw 47.57%
Fakel 24.53% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Rostov 45.72%
No Goal 10.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Fakel 44.19% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 50.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.54%
Under 8 36.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 38.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 12.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 49.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 27.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 72.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Rostov Goals

Over 1.5 36.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 85.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.15% ▲ (+0.02)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 61.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 38.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 26.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 73.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 91.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.87% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Rostov 42.49%
Draw 28.46%
Fakel 29.09%
Rostov
1-0 @ 12.23% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.57% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 42.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.27% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 28.46%
Fakel
0-1 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 5.06%
1-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 29.09%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Rostov
Jul 15, 2026 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rostov Arena
Fakel
Club Friendlies 3
Fakel
Jul 7, 2026 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
Rostov
  • Belajdi Pusi 17' goal
  • Axel Aymeric Gnapi Dable 51' goal
  • Maksim Turishchev 65' goal
  • goal German Ignatov 11'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 25
Fakel
Apr 20, 2025 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 1 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
Rostov
  • 16' goal
  • Dylan Mertens 43' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Brahimi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Igor Yurganov 61' yellowcard
  • goal Egor Golenkov 30'
  • yellowcard Ivan Komarov 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Egor Golenkov 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Khoren Bayramyan 56'
  • goal Konstantin Kuchayev 77'
  • yellowcard Oumar Sako 86'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 7
Rostov
Sep 1, 2024 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Rostov Arena (Rostov-na-Donu)
Fakel
  • Nikolay Komlichenko 23' goal
  • Maksim Osipenko 45' goal
  • Ronaldo Cesar 72' goal
  • Egor Golenkov 84' goal
  • Eyad El Askalany 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vladimir Ilyin 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Rayan Senhadji 57'
  • goal Vladimir Ilyin 68'
  • yellowcard Khyzyr Appaev 82'
  • yellowcard Maks Dziov 88'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 24
Fakel
Apr 14, 2024 2.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
Rostov
  • Ihor Kalinin 6' yellowcard
  • Nichita Motpan 7' yellowcard
  • Sergey Tashuev 7' yellowcard
  • Irakli Kvekveskiri 48' yellowcard
  • Ilnur Alshin 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Khoren Bayramyan 23'
  • yellowcard Oumar Sako 52'
  • goal Ronaldo Cesar 83'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 1
Rostov
Jul 23, 2023 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Rostov Arena
Fakel
  • Maksim Osipenko 39' goal
  • Daniil Utkin 45' yellowcard
  • Roman Tugarev 56' goal
  • Khoren Bayramyan 66' yellowcard
  • goal Yevgeni Markov 17'
  • yellowcard Fyodor Kudryashov 20'
  • yellowcard Yevgeni Markov 42'
  • yellowcard Andrey Mendel 58'
  • yellowcard Sergey Bozhin 58'

Form Data

Krasnodar 1 - 0 Rostov
Akhmat Grozny 4 - 1 Rostov
Rostov 1 - 1 Rubin Kazan
CSKA 0 - 0 Rostov
Rodina Moskva 2 - 4 Rostov
Orenburg 2 - 1 Rostov
Fakel 0 - 1 Zenit
Fakel 0 - 0 Orenburg
CSKA 1 - 0 Fakel
Fakel 0 - 0 Akhmat Grozny
Krasnodar 3 - 2 Fakel
Fakel 1 - 2 Makhachkala