Russian Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2026 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Samara Arena
  • Martin Kramaric 25' goal
  • Maksim Vityugov 62' yellowcard
  • Sergey Bozhin 85' yellowcard
  • goal Clayton 17'
  • yellowcard Vyacheslav Yakimov 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Albert Gabaraev 47'
  • goal Matvey Bardachev 67'
  • yellowcard Ilnur Alshin 90'+4'

Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Krylia Sovetov

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.30pm
Krylia Sovetov 1 - 1 Spartak Moscow
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Amar Rahmanovic

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 1.15pm
Fakel 0 - 5 Lokomotiv
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Vyacheslav Yakimov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 47.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.74% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%) , while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Krylia Sovetov 47.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 26.74% ▲ (+0.21)
Fakel 26.2% ▼ (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.68% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.13% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 29.87% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 44.42% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 2.5 55.58% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 3.5 23.22% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 3.5 76.78% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 4.5 12.46% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 4.5 87.54% ▼ (-0.35)

First Half Winner

Krylia Sovetov 31.51% ▲ (+0.34)
Draw 42.71% ▼ (-0.72)
Fakel 25.78% ▲ (+0.39)

Team To Score First

Krylia Sovetov 49.64% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 9.04% ▼ (-0.16)
Fakel 41.32% ▲ (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 59.26% ▼ (-4.50)
Equal 8 11.26% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 8 29.49% ▲ (+4.23)
Over 9 47.66% ▼ (-4.36)
Equal 9 11.6% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 9 40.74% ▲ (+4.50)
Over 10.5 36.69% ▼ (-3.82)
Under 10.5 63.31% ▲ (+3.82)

Krylia Sovetov Goals

Over 1.5 41.35% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 1.5 58.65% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 2.5 17.16% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 2.5 82.84% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 3.5 5.75% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 94.25% ▼ (-0.22)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 59.14% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 0.5 40.86% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 1.5 25.64% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 74.36% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 8.14% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 91.86% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 2.27% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.73% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Krylia Sovetov 47.05%
Draw 26.74%
Fakel 26.2%
Krylia Sovetov
1-0 @ 12.65% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 47.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 26.74%
Fakel
0-1 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.10)
1-2 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.2%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 30
May 24, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Rayan Senhadji 43' yellowcard
  • Vladimir Ilyin 51' yellowcard
  • Irakli Kvekveskiri 82' yellowcard
  • Vladimir Ilyin 86' goal
  • Mohamed Brahimi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Nikolai Giorgobiani 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Sergey Bryzgalov 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alois Oroz 29'
  • yellowcard Dmitriy Ivanisenya 59'
  • yellowcard Roman Yevgenyev 89'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 11, 2024 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Samara Arena
  • Nikolai Rasskazov 35' yellowcard
  • Fernando Costanza 75' goal
  • Fernando Costanza 76' yellowcard
  • Franco Orozco 78' goal
  • yellowcard Sergey Bozhin 35'
  • yellowcard Irakli Kvekveskiri 90'+1'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 21
Apr 25, 2024 4.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Khyzyr Appaev 6' yellowcard
  • Roman Akbashev 31' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roman Ezhov 18'
  • goal Franco Orozco 76'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2023 3.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Samara Arena
  • Fernando Costanza 28' goal
  • Ivan Lomaev 65' yellowcard
  • Amar Rahmanovic 66' goal
  • Vladislav Shitov 70' goal
  • yellowcard Ihor Kalinin 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Thabo Cele 56'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 29
May 28, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Andrey Mendel 12' goal
  • Roman Akbashev 57' goal
  • goal Nikolai Rasskazov 75'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 6
Aug 19, 2022 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Samara Arena
  • Maksim Glushenkov 61' goal
  • yellowcard Andrey Mendel 58'
  • goal Maksim Maksimov 65'
  • yellowcard Sergey Bozhin 82'
  • yellowcard Irakli Kvekveskiri 87'