Russian Premier League Gameweek 9
Sep 16, 2026 6.45pm
RZD Arena

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.15pm
Zenit 2 - 1 Lokomotiv
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Zelimkhan Bakaev

Krylia Sovetov

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 4.00pm
Krylia Sovetov 2 - 1 Rodina Moskva
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Nikita Chernov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw has a probability of 27.52% and a win for Krylia Sovetov has a probability of 21.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.24%) , while for a Krylia Sovetov win it is 0-1 (7.81%).

Result

Lokomotiv Moscow 51.02% (+0.12)
Draw 27.52% (+0.22)
Krylia Sovetov 21.46% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.25% (-0.69)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.02% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 31.98% (+0.70)
Over 2.5 42.61% (-0.68)
Under 2.5 57.39% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 21.7% (-0.45)
Under 3.5 78.3% (+0.44)
Over 4.5 11.94% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 88.06% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Lokomotiv Moscow 35.99% (-0.04)
Draw 42.26% (+0.04)
Krylia Sovetov 21.74% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Lokomotiv Moscow 55.81% (-0.29)
No Goal 10.15% (+0.38)
Krylia Sovetov 34.04% (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 51.56% (+0.35)
Equal 8 12.1%
Under 8 36.34% (-0.35)
Over 9 39.84% (+0.31)
Equal 9 11.72% (+0.05)
Under 9 48.44% (-0.35)
Over 10.5 29.43% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 70.57% (-0.25)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 43.45% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 56.55% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 18.64% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 81.36% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 6.71% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 93.29% (+0.11)

Krylia Sovetov Goals

Over 0.5 54.05% (-0.70)
Under 0.5 45.95% (+0.70)
Over 1.5 20.63% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 79.37% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 6.32% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 93.68% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 1.49% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 98.51% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 51.01%
Draw 27.52%
Krylia Sovetov 21.46%
Lokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 14.01% (+0.30)
2-0 @ 10.11% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.05)
Other @ 6.49% (-0.10)
Total : 51.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 10.15% (+0.38)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 27.52%
Krylia Sovetov
0-1 @ 7.81% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.27% (-0.05)
Total : 21.46%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Samara Arena
  • I. Oleynikov 31' goal
  • A. Rahmanović 53' goal
  • I. Akhmetov 61' yellowcard
  • Jimmy Marín 61' yellowcard
  • Artem Shumanskiy 73' yellowcard
  • I. Lepskiy 86' yellowcard
  • K. Stolbov 86' yellowcard
  • Kirill Pechenin 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergey Pinyaev 46'
  • yellowcard Nikita Saltykov 46'
  • yellowcard Nikolay Komlichenko 57'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vera 71'
Russian Premier League
Aug 31, 2025 1.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 22
Mar 28, 2025 3.30pm
5
1
HT : 4 0
FT Samara Arena
  • Alois Oroz 2' goal
  • Ivan Sergeev 4' goal
  • Ivan Oleynikov 32' goal
  • Glenn Bijl 40' goal
  • Ivan Sergeev 49' goal
  • Fernando Costanza 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Artem Karpukas 31'
  • yellowcard Lucas Fasson 43'
  • goal Glenn Bijl 62' (OG)
Russian Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2024 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT RZD Arena
  • Mikhail Galaktionov 0' yellowcard
  • Dmitriy Barinov 74' yellowcard
  • Timur Suleymanov 75' goal
  • Dmitriy Barinov 87' yellowcard
Russian Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 25, 2023 10.00am
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Samara Arena
  • Aleksandr Soldatenkov 3' yellowcard
  • Fernando Costanza 32' goal
  • Fernando Costanza 49' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Garre 57' yellowcard
  • Yuriy Gorshkov 72' yellowcard
  • Vladimir Sychevoy 90'+4' goal
  • Benjamin Garre 90'+12' goal
  • yellowcard Maksim Glushenkov 14'
  • yellowcard Artem Karpukas 23'
  • goal Sergey Pinyaev 30'
  • yellowcard Anton Miranchuk 33'
  • goal Rifat Zhemaletdinov 62'
  • goal Rifat Zhemaletdinov 84'
  • yellowcard Dmitriy Barinov 90'+10'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 12, 2023 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT RZD Arena
  • Sergey Pinyaev 45' yellowcard
  • Vladislav Sarveli 64' goal
  • Lucas Fasson 85' yellowcard
  • Wilson Isidor 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Konstantin Maradishvili 90'+3' goal
  • goal Nikolai Rasskazov 86'