Russian Premier League
Aug 22, 2026 6.15pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT VEB Arena
  • Luciano Gondou 29' goal
  • Kirill Danilov 50' goal
  • Matheus Alves Nascimento 68' goal
  • Kirill Danilov 74' yellowcard
  • Luciano Gondou 81' yellowcard
  • goal Aleksandr Silyanov 22'
  • yellowcard Gerzino Nyamsi 45'+2'
  • goal Sergey Pinyaev 75'

CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 2.15pm
CSKA 1 - 0 Fakel
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Kirill Glebov

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 3.00pm
Orenburg 1 - 1 Lokomotiv
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Zelimkhan Bakaev

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

CSKA Moscow 43.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 25.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Lokomotiv Moscow 31.76% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.71% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.97% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 52.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.03% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 69.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.18% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

CSKA Moscow 30.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 41.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Lokomotiv Moscow 28.45% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

CSKA Moscow 48.06% ▲ (+0.07)
No Goal 6.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Lokomotiv Moscow 45.3% ▼ (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 51.66% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 36.32% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 40% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 48.34% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 29.59% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 70.41% ▲ (+0.11)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 42.93% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 57.07% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 18.67% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 81.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 66.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 33.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.42%
Under 1.5 66.58%
Over 2.5 12.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.93%
Under 3.5 96.07%

Score analysis

CSKA Moscow 43.15%
Draw 25.09%
Lokomotiv Moscow 31.77%
CSKA Moscow
1-0 @ 9.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08%
2-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 43.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.09%
Lokomotiv Moscow
0-1 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 31.77%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 14, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT RZD Arena
  • Gerzino Nyamsi 46' yellowcard
  • Maksim Nenakhov 47' goal
  • Gerzino Nyamsi 54' redcard
  • Nikita Saltykov 73' yellowcard
Russian Premier League
May 17, 2026 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT VEB Arena
  • Danila Kozlov 35' goal
  • Maksim Nenakhov 57' goal
  • Artem Bandikyan 63' yellowcard
  • Tamerlan Musaev 63' yellowcard
  • Matheus Alves Nascimento 71' yellowcard
  • Danil Krugovoy 90'+1' goal
  • Mingiyan Badmaev 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gerzino Nyamsi 39'
  • yellowcard Vladislav Sarvelyi 61'
  • yellowcard Nikita Saltykov 61'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vera 61'
  • yellowcard Vladislav Sarvelyi 62'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vera 62'
  • goal Alexander Silyanov 70'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Myalkovskiy 86'
Club Friendlies 3
Feb 21, 2026 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT VEB Arena
  • Glebov 14' goal
  • Luciano Gondou 33' goal
  • yellowcard Aleksey Batrakov 60'
  • goal Batrakov 61'
  • goal 121'
Russian Premier League
Oct 18, 2025 5.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 29
May 19, 2025 6.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT RZD Arena
  • Dmitriy Vorobyev 10' goal
  • Dmitriy Vorobyev 25' goal
  • Maksim Nenakhov 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 41'
  • yellowcard Saul Guarirapa 41'
  • goal Saul Guarirapa 47'
  • goal Matvey Kislyak 80'
  • yellowcard Abbosbek Fayzullayev 88'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 18, 2024 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT VEB Arena
  • Milan Gajic 23' yellowcard
  • Tamerlan Musaev 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Evgeny Morozov 30'
  • yellowcard Artem Karpukas 38'
  • yellowcard Vadim Rakov 87'
  • goal Nayair Tiknizyan 90'