Russian Premier League Gameweek 9
Sep 16, 2026 4.30pm
Lukoil Arena

Spartak Moscow vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 3.00pm
Spartak Moscow 3 - 0 Rostov
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Danil Prutsev

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 12.00pm
Fakel 2 - 2 Baltika
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Vyacheslav Yakimov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 69.04%. A draw has a probability of 20.34% and a win for Fakel has a probability of 10.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (14.36%) and 3-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.84%) , while for a Fakel win it is 0-1 (4.21%).

Result

Spartak Moscow 69.04% (-0.56)
Draw 20.34% (+0.36)
Fakel 10.65% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.21% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.41% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 27.59% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 47.83% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 52.17% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 26.27% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 73.73% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.05% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.95% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Spartak Moscow 48.2% (+1.99)
Draw 37.73% (-1.65)
Fakel 14.06% (-0.35)

Team To Score First

Spartak Moscow 66.69% (+0.63)
No Goal 8.11% (-0.04)
Fakel 25.2% (-0.61)

Corners

Over 8 52.78% (-2.55)
Equal 8 11.66% (-0.01)
Under 8 35.55% (+2.56)
Over 9 41.35% (-2.33)
Equal 9 11.43% (-0.24)
Under 9 47.22% (+2.55)
Over 10.5 31.04% (-1.93)
Under 10.5 68.96% (+1.93)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 57.8% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 42.2% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 30.71% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 69.29% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 13.22% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 86.78% (-0.10)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 39.73% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 60.27% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 12% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 88% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 2.78% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 97.22% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.56% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.44% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Spartak Moscow 69.02%
Draw 20.33%
Fakel 10.66%
Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 15.28% (-0.22)
2-0 @ 14.36% (-0.21)
3-0 @ 9.33% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.13)
Other @ 13.2% (+0.09)
Total : 69.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.84% (+0.23)
0-0 @ 8.11% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 2.92% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.02% (+0.01)
Total : 20.33%
Fakel
0-1 @ 4.21% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 2.75% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.38% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 10.66%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 5
May 4, 2025 12.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Dylan Mertens 48' yellowcard
  • Vyacheslav Yakimov 90'+4' yellowcard
  • redcard Ruslan Litvinov 25'
  • yellowcard Pablo Solari 52'
  • yellowcard Myenty Abena 77'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 27
Aug 18, 2024 3.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Manfred Ugalde 3' goal
  • Srdan Babic 9' goal
  • Ezequiel Barco 60' goal
  • yellowcard Sergey Bozhin 11'
  • yellowcard Abdulla Bagamaev 89'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 20
Mar 10, 2024 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Danila Prutsev 16' yellowcard
  • Christopher Martins Pereira 36' yellowcard
  • Srdan Babic 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Victor Moses 83' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Litvinov 89' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Sobolev 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruslan Magal 14'
  • yellowcard Irakli Kvekveskiri 18'
  • yellowcard Khyzyr Appaev 26'
  • goal Yevgeni Markov 37'
  • yellowcard Vasily Cherov 62'
  • goal Danila Prutsev 66' (OG)
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Belenov 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Sergey Bozhin 90'+5'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2023 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Sergey Bozhin 29' yellowcard
  • Yevgeni Markov 71' goal
  • Maksim Maksimov 83' goal
  • yellowcard Srdan Babic 35'
  • yellowcard Alexis Duarte 67'
  • redcard Srdan Babic 70'
  • yellowcard Nail Umyarov 86'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 19
Mar 11, 2023 1.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Quincy Promes 18' goal
  • Quincy Promes 41' goal
  • Christopher Martins Pereira 87' goal
  • goal Khyzyr Appaev 43'
  • goal Reda Rabei 45'+3'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 7
Aug 27, 2022 3.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Roman Akbashev 3' yellowcard
  • Aslan Dashaev 23' goal
  • Maksim Maksimov 33' yellowcard
  • Oleg Dmitriev 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roman Zobnin 49'
  • goal Roman Zobnin 51'
  • goal Ruslan Litvinov 57'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Maximenko 86'
  • goal Quincy Promes 90'+4'
  • goal Maciej Rybus 90'+6'