Russian Premier League Gameweek 9
Sep 16, 2026 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lukoil Arena
  • Manfred Ugalde 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Matvey Bardachev 59'
  • yellowcard Albert Gabaraev 66'
  • redcard Matvey Bardachev 66'
  • yellowcard Nikolay Giorgobiani 86'

Spartak Moscow vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 3.00pm
Spartak Moscow 3 - 0 Rostov
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Manfred Ugalde

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 12.00pm
Fakel 2 - 2 Baltika
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Vyacheslav Yakimov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 69.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.34% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 10.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.36%) and 3-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%) , while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood.

Result

Spartak Moscow 69.04% ▼ (-0.56)
Draw 20.34% ▲ (+0.36)
Fakel 10.65% ▲ (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.21% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.41% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 27.59% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 47.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 52.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 26.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 73.73% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.95% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Spartak Moscow 48.2% ▲ (+1.99)
Draw 37.73% ▼ (-1.65)
Fakel 14.06% ▼ (-0.35)

Team To Score First

Spartak Moscow 66.69% ▲ (+0.63)
No Goal 8.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Fakel 25.2% ▼ (-0.61)

Corners

Over 8 52.78% ▼ (-2.55)
Equal 8 11.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 35.55% ▲ (+2.56)
Over 9 41.35% ▼ (-2.33)
Equal 9 11.43% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 9 47.22% ▲ (+2.55)
Over 10.5 31.04% ▼ (-1.93)
Under 10.5 68.96% ▲ (+1.93)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 57.8% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 42.2% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 30.71% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 69.29% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 13.22% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 86.78% ▼ (-0.10)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 39.73% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 0.5 60.27% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 1.5 12% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 88% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 2.78% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 97.22% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.44% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Spartak Moscow 69.02%
Draw 20.33%
Fakel 10.66%
Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 15.28% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 14.36% ▼ (-0.21)
3-0 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 13.2% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 69.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.23)
0-0 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 20.33%
Fakel
0-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 10.66%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 5
May 4, 2025 12.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Dylan Mertens 48' yellowcard
  • Vyacheslav Yakimov 90'+4' yellowcard
  • redcard Ruslan Litvinov 25'
  • yellowcard Pablo Solari 52'
  • yellowcard Myenty Abena 77'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 27
Aug 18, 2024 3.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Manfred Ugalde 3' goal
  • Srdan Babic 9' goal
  • Ezequiel Barco 60' goal
  • yellowcard Sergey Bozhin 11'
  • yellowcard Abdulla Bagamaev 89'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 20
Mar 10, 2024 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Danila Prutsev 16' yellowcard
  • Christopher Martins Pereira 36' yellowcard
  • Srdan Babic 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Victor Moses 83' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Litvinov 89' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Sobolev 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruslan Magal 14'
  • yellowcard Irakli Kvekveskiri 18'
  • yellowcard Khyzyr Appaev 26'
  • goal Yevgeni Markov 37'
  • yellowcard Vasily Cherov 62'
  • goal Danila Prutsev 66' (OG)
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Belenov 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Sergey Bozhin 90'+5'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2023 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Sergey Bozhin 29' yellowcard
  • Yevgeni Markov 71' goal
  • Maksim Maksimov 83' goal
  • yellowcard Srdan Babic 35'
  • yellowcard Alexis Duarte 67'
  • redcard Srdan Babic 70'
  • yellowcard Nail Umyarov 86'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 19
Mar 11, 2023 1.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Quincy Promes 18' goal
  • Quincy Promes 41' goal
  • Christopher Martins Pereira 87' goal
  • goal Khyzyr Appaev 43'
  • goal Reda Rabei 45'+3'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 7
Aug 27, 2022 3.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Roman Akbashev 3' yellowcard
  • Aslan Dashaev 23' goal
  • Maksim Maksimov 33' yellowcard
  • Oleg Dmitriev 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roman Zobnin 49'
  • goal Roman Zobnin 51'
  • goal Ruslan Litvinov 57'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Maximenko 86'
  • goal Quincy Promes 90'+4'
  • goal Maciej Rybus 90'+6'