Russian Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 12, 2026 12.00pm
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Fakel vs Baltika - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 5.00pm
Rostov 3 - 1 Fakel
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Vyacheslav Yakimov

Baltika

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 6.45pm
Baltika 0 - 1 Lokomotiv
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Chinonso Offor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Baltika win with a probability of 44.4%. A draw has a probability of 30.54% and a win for Fakel has a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.04%) and 1-2 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.53%) , while for a Fakel win it is 1-0 (10.33%).

Result

Fakel 25.06% (+0.04)
Draw 30.54%
Baltika 44.4% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.98% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 61.76% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 38.24% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 34.89% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 65.11% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 16.53% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 83.47% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 8.02% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 91.98% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Fakel 20.45% (+0.01)
Draw 50.7% (-0.02)
Baltika 28.85% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Fakel 37.34% (+0.02)
No Goal 13.1% (-0.04)
Baltika 49.56% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 46.76% (-0.02)
Equal 8 12.79%
Under 8 40.45% (+0.02)
Over 9 34.82% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 53.24% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 24.63% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 75.37% (+0.02)

Fakel Goals

Over 1.5 20.24% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 79.76% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 5.39% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 94.61% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.18% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.82% (-0.02)

Baltika Goals

Over 0.5 69.92% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.08% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 34.55% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 65.45% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 12.89% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.11% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.82% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.18% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Fakel 25.06%
Draw 30.54%
Baltika 44.4%
Fakel
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.45% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.3% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.58%
3-0 @ 1.19% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 25.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.53% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 13.1% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.5% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.02% (+0.01)
Total : 30.54%
Baltika
0-1 @ 14.81% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 9.04% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.07% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.66% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 44.4%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Feb 12, 2026 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kaliningrad Stadium
  • Nathan Gassama 36' goal
Russian Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 2, 2023 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Ilnur Alshin 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Gassama 36'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Soto 69'
  • yellowcard Gedeon Guzina 82'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 6, 2023 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Rostov Arena
  • Vasily Cherov 8' goal
  • Tamerlan Musaev 48' goal
  • Tamerlan Musaev 81' yellowcard
  • Evgeny Latyshonok 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Vyacheslav Yakimov 14'
  • yellowcard Sergey Bryzgalov 34'
  • yellowcard Sergey Bozhin 79'
  • yellowcard Irakli Kvekveskiri 90'+3'