Russian Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 12, 2026 12.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • R. Netfullin 13' goal
  • Butta Magomedov 51' goal
  • Axel Aymeric Gnapi Dable 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrey Mendel  10'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Anderson 47'
  • goal Egor Golenkov 74'
  • yellowcard Loris Mouyokolo 82'
  • goal B. Gil 90'+5'

Fakel vs Baltika - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 5.00pm
Rostov 3 - 1 Fakel
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Vyacheslav Yakimov

Baltika

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 6.45pm
Baltika 0 - 1 Lokomotiv
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
B. Gil

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 44.54%. A draw had a probability of 30.54% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.1%) and 1-2 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.5%) , while for a Fakel win it was 1-0 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Fakel 24.89% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 30.54%
Baltika 44.54% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.85% ▼ (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 61.6% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 38.4% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 34.76% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 65.24% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 16.43% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 83.57% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 7.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 92.03% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Fakel 20.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 50.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Baltika 28.85%

Team To Score First

Fakel 37.33% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 13.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Baltika 49.53% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 46.76%
Equal 8 12.79%
Under 8 40.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 34.82%
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 53.24%
Over 10.5 24.63%
Under 10.5 75.37%

Fakel Goals

Over 1.5 20.05% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 1.5 79.95% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 2.5 5.31% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 94.69% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 1.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.84% ▲ (+0.03)

Baltika Goals

Over 0.5 69.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 65.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.89%
Under 2.5 87.11%
Over 3.5 3.82%
Under 3.5 96.18%

Score analysis

Fakel 24.88%
Draw 30.54%
Baltika 44.53%
Fakel
1-0 @ 10.31% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 24.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.5% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 13.14% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 30.54%
Baltika
0-1 @ 14.9% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.06% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 44.53%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Feb 12, 2026 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kaliningrad Stadium
  • Nathan Gassama 36' goal
Russian Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 2, 2023 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Ilnur Alshin 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Gassama 36'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Soto 69'
  • yellowcard Gedeon Guzina 82'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 6, 2023 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Rostov Arena
  • Vasily Cherov 8' goal
  • Tamerlan Musaev 48' goal
  • Tamerlan Musaev 81' yellowcard
  • Evgeny Latyshonok 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Vyacheslav Yakimov 14'
  • yellowcard Sergey Bryzgalov 34'
  • yellowcard Sergey Bozhin 79'
  • yellowcard Irakli Kvekveskiri 90'+3'