Russian Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 10, 2026 1.15pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • goal Nikolay Titkov 25'
  • yellowcard Danila Godyaev 28'
  • goal Nikolay Komlichenko 32'
  • yellowcard Egor Pogostnov 36'
  • goal César Montes 49'
  • goal Egor Pogostnov 64'
  • goal Nikolay Komlichenko 74'

Fakel vs Lokomotiv Moscow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 4.30pm
Spartak Moscow 1 - 0 Fakel
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Vyacheslav Yakimov

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 6.45pm
Lokomotiv 1 - 1 Krylia Sovetov
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Nikolay Komlichenko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Fakel has a probability of 30.97% and a draw has a probability of 29.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Fakel win is 1-0 (10.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.04%).

Result

Fakel 30.97% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 29.18%
Lokomotiv Moscow 39.82% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.95% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 34.59% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 39.3% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 60.7% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 18.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 81.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 9.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 90.53% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Fakel 25.67%
Draw 46.02%
Lokomotiv Moscow 28.31%

Team To Score First

Fakel 43.91% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 11.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Lokomotiv Moscow 44.73% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 51.01%
Equal 8 12.17%
Under 8 36.82%
Over 9 39.28%
Equal 9 11.72%
Under 9 48.99%
Over 10.5 28.92%
Under 10.5 71.08%

Fakel Goals

Over 1.5 26.82% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 73.18% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 8.63%
Under 2.5 91.37%
Over 3.5 2.2%
Under 3.5 97.8%

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 68.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 33.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 66.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 12.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.42% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Fakel 30.97%
Draw 29.19%
Lokomotiv Moscow 39.81%
Fakel
1-0 @ 10.58% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.26%
3-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 30.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.04% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 11.36% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.19%
Lokomotiv Moscow
0-1 @ 12.62% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 39.81%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 28
May 11, 2025 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Irakli Kvekveskiri 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Dmitriy Vorobyev 22'
  • yellowcard Egor Pogostnov 53'
  • yellowcard Sergey Pinyaev 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Timur Suleymanov 90'+5'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 11.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT RZD Arena
  • Aleksey Batrakov 29' goal
  • Ilya Samoshnikov 73' yellowcard
  • Aleksey Batrakov 75' yellowcard
  • Dmitriy Barinov 80' yellowcard
  • Aleksey Batrakov 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Ihor Kalinin 24'
  • goal Yevgeni Markov 84'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 29
May 18, 2024 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT RZD Arena
  • Timur Suleymanov 11' goal
  • Timur Suleymanov 53' goal
Russian Premier League Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 3.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Khyzyr Appaev 12' yellowcard
  • Yevgeni Markov 33' goal
  • Sergey Bozhin 69' yellowcard
  • Abdulla Bagamaev 83' yellowcard
  • goal Artem Dzyuba 12'
  • yellowcard Egor Pogostnov 24'
  • goal Nayair Tiknizyan 60'
  • yellowcard Sergey Pinyaev 66'
  • goal Sergey Pinyaev 67'
  • yellowcard Ilya Lantratov 84'
  • goal Nayair Tiknizyan 89'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 28
May 20, 2023 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT RZD Arena
  • Anton Miranchuk 87' goal
Russian Premier League Gameweek 9
Sep 11, 2022 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Evgeny Morozov 45'+6' goal
  • Irakli Kvekveskiri 57' goal