Russian Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 11, 2026 2.30pm
0
0
LIVE VEB Arena

CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 17, 2026 6.45pm
Makhachkala 1 - 3 CSKA
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Ivan Oblyakov

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 4.30pm
Rodina Moskva 1 - 1 Rubin Kazan
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Artem Maksimenko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw has a probability of 22.2% and a win for Rodina Moskva has a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.74%) , while for a Rodina Moskva win it is 1-2 (5.03%).

Result

CSKA Moscow 59.48% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 22.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Rodina Moskva 18.31% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.63% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.17% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 21.83% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 56.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 43.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.71% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 66.29% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 20.83% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 79.17% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

CSKA Moscow 43.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 37.01% ▼ (-0.10)
Rodina Moskva 19.03% ▲ (+0.13)

Team To Score First

CSKA Moscow 62.27% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 6.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Rodina Moskva 31.54% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 65.09% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.81%
Under 8 24.11% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 53.4% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 34.91% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 41.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 10.5 58.13% ▼ (-0.05)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 56.7%
Under 1.5 43.3%
Over 2.5 30.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 69.76% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 12.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.15% ▲ (+0.02)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 0.5 53.97% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 46.03% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 23.02% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 76.98% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 7.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.47% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.01% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

CSKA Moscow 59.48%
Draw 22.19%
Rodina Moskva 18.32%
CSKA Moscow
1-0 @ 10.73% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.96%
2-0 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.35%
3-2 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 12.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 59.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.74%
0-0 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.19%
Rodina Moskva
1-2 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.9%
0-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 18.32%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jun 26, 2026 1.00am
VEB Arena