Real Madrid vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.