Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shamal win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Al-Sadd had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Shamal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.85%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Al-Sadd win was 2-1 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.