Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 16, 2025 at 7pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
1 - 1
Gil Vicente

Petrasso (38')
Ntoi (45+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bermejo (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Nacional 3-3 Rio Ave
Saturday, May 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Arouca
Saturday, May 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Gil Vicente
36.72% ( 0.64)	25.41% ( -0.1)	37.87% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 56.28% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.43% (

0.47)

47.57% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.23% (

0.43)

69.77% (

-0.43)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7% (

0.58)

25.3% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.93% (

0.79)

60.07% (

-0.79)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.33% (

-0.08)

24.67% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.81% (

-0.11)

59.19% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 36.72%

Gil Vicente 37.87%

Draw 25.41%

Rio Ave	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.72%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 37.87%