Nations League Gameweek 5
Nov 14, 2026 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Rúben Dias 46' yellowcard
  • João Palhinha 87' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 90'+3' goal
  • goal Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 43'
  • goal Rasmus Højlund 49'
  • goal Rasmus Højlund 57'
  • goal Joachim Andersen 75'

Portugal vs Denmark - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Portugal 1 - 0 Wales

Denmark

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Norway 3 - 2 Denmark

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.84% and a win for Denmark had a probability of 17.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%) , while for a Denmark win it was 0-1 (4.55%).

Result

Portugal 63.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 19.84%
Denmark 17.14% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.78% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 20.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 57.2% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 42.8% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 35.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 64.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 23.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 76.68% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Portugal 45.05%
Draw 35.44%
Denmark 19.51%

Team To Score First

Portugal 63.23% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Denmark 31.46%

Corners

Over 8 55.26%
Equal 8 11.17%
Under 8 33.57%
Over 9 44.1%
Equal 9 11.16%
Under 9 44.74%
Over 10.5 33.82%
Under 10.5 66.18%

Portugal Goals

Over 1.5 59.09%
Under 1.5 40.91%
Over 2.5 32.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 67.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 15.02%
Under 3.5 84.98%

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5 51.03% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 48.97% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 21.76% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 78.24% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 6.83%
Under 2.5 93.17%
Over 3.5 2.14%
Under 3.5 97.86%

Score analysis

Portugal 63.01%
Draw 19.84%
Denmark 17.14%
Portugal
1-0 @ 11.07% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.58% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 15%
Total : 63.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 9% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 19.84%
Denmark
0-1 @ 4.55%
1-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62%
1-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 17.14%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 1, 2026 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT Parken
  • Mikkel Damsgaard 23' goal
  • Rasmus Højlund 53' goal
  • Mohamed Daramy 79' yellowcard
  • goal João Cancelo 13'
  • goal Gonçalo Ramos 25'
  • goal Vitinha 67'
  • yellowcard Jorge Jesus 68'
  • yellowcard Rúben Neves 82'
  • goal João Félix 87'
Nations League
Mar 23, 2025 7.45pm
5
2
HT : 1 0
ET Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Joachim Andersen 38' goal
  • Ruben Dias 50' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 72' goal
  • Diogo Jota 75' yellowcard
  • Francisco Trincao 86' goal
  • Francisco Trincao 91' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 115' goal
  • yellowcard Christian Eriksen 50'
  • goal Rasmus Kristensen 56'
  • yellowcard Christian Norgaard 66'
  • goal Christian Eriksen 76'
  • yellowcard Joachim Andersen 105'+3'
  • yellowcard Jannik Vestergaard 120'+1'
Nations League
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parken
  • Rasmus Hojlund 78' goal
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 57'
  • yellowcard Vitinha 59'
European Championship
Oct 8, 2015 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joao Moutinho 66' goal
  • Rui Patricio 82' yellowcard
  • Danilo 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pierre Hojbjerg 25'
  • yellowcard Christian Eriksen 43'
  • yellowcard Daniel Wass 68'
European Championship
Oct 14, 2014 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Cristiano Ronaldo 92'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 95'
European Championship
Jun 13, 2012 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT

Build-up

Head to head