Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2026 7.45pm
Ullevaal Stadion

Norway vs Portugal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Norway 3 - 2 Denmark

Portugal

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Portugal 1 - 0 Wales

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portugal win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Norway has a probability of 29.7% and a draw has a probability of 20.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Norway win is 2-1 (6.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.63%).

Result

Norway 29.7% ▲ (+0.67)
Draw 20.34% ▲ (+0.18)
Portugal 49.95% ▼ (-0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.25% ▲ (+0.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.11% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 1.5 14.89% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 2.5 66.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 33.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 44.45% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 3.5 55.55% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 4.5 29.29% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 4.5 70.71% ▲ (+0.26)

First Half Winner

Norway 25.11% ▲ (+0.47)
Draw 34.86% ▼ (-1.15)
Portugal 40.03% ▲ (+0.68)

Team To Score First

Norway 40.74% ▲ (+3.43)
No Goal 3.35% ▲ (+0.13)
Portugal 55.91% ▼ (-3.57)

Corners

Over 8 41.24% ▼ (-3.87)
Equal 8 11.33% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 8 47.43% ▲ (+4.14)
Over 9 31.1% ▼ (-3.34)
Equal 9 10.15% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 9 58.76% ▲ (+3.87)
Over 10.5 22.68% ▼ (-2.68)
Under 10.5 77.32% ▲ (+2.68)

Norway Goals

Over 1.5 37.89% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 62.11% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 17.43% ▲ (+0.81)
Under 2.5 82.57% ▼ (-0.82)
Over 3.5 6.93% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 3.5 93.07% ▼ (-0.52)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5 79.76% ▼ (-0.94)
Under 0.5 20.24% ▲ (+0.94)
Over 1.5 54.88% ▼ (-0.84)
Under 1.5 45.12% ▲ (+0.84)
Over 2.5 29.61% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 2.5 70.39% ▲ (+0.93)
Over 3.5 12.9% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 3.5 87.1% ▲ (+0.66)

Score analysis

Norway 29.7%
Draw 20.35%
Portugal 49.94%
Norway
2-1 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.20)
1-0 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.28)
Other @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.46)
Total : 29.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 20.35%
Portugal
1-2 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.27)
0-1 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 12.49% ▼ (-0.71)
Total : 49.94%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
May 29, 2016 8.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ricardo Quaresma 13' goal
  • Raphael Guerreiro 65' goal
  • Eder 71' goal