Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 1, 2026 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT Parken
  • Mikkel Damsgaard 23' goal
  • Rasmus Højlund 53' goal
  • Mohamed Daramy 79' yellowcard
  • goal João Cancelo 13'
  • goal Gonçalo Ramos 25'
  • goal Vitinha 67'
  • yellowcard Jorge Jesus 68'
  • yellowcard Rúben Neves 82'
  • goal João Félix 87'

Denmark vs Portugal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Norway 3 - 2 Denmark

Portugal

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Portugal 1 - 0 Wales

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Denmark win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Portugal has a probability of 37.31% and a draw has a probability of 24.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Portugal win is 1-2 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.25%).

Result

Denmark 38.38%
Draw 24.32%
Portugal 37.31%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.06%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.81%
Under 1.5 21.19%
Over 2.5 56.07%
Under 2.5 43.93%
Over 3.5 33.9%
Under 3.5 66.1%
Over 4.5 20.29%
Under 4.5 79.71%

First Half Winner

Denmark 30.37%
Draw 41.92%
Portugal 27.71%

Team To Score First

Denmark 49.9%
No Goal 5.58%
Portugal 44.52%

Corners

Over 8 54.51%
Equal 8 11.09%
Under 8 34.4%
Over 9 43.53%
Equal 9 10.98%
Under 9 45.49%
Over 10.5 33.48%
Under 10.5 66.52%

Denmark Goals

Over 1.5 41.17%
Under 1.5 58.83%
Over 2.5 18.22%
Under 2.5 81.78%
Over 3.5 7.09%
Under 3.5 92.91%

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5 70.7%
Under 0.5 29.3%
Over 1.5 39.72%
Under 1.5 60.28%
Over 2.5 17.53%
Under 2.5 82.47%
Over 3.5 6.24%
Under 3.5 93.76%

Score analysis

Denmark 38.37%
Draw 24.31%
Portugal 37.3%
Denmark
2-1 @ 8.12%
1-0 @ 7.94%
2-0 @ 5.82%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.59%
Other @ 6.78%
Total : 38.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 5.75%
0-0 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 24.31%
Portugal
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-1 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 5.68%
1-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.72%
Other @ 5.93%
Total : 37.3%

Head to Head

Nations League
Mar 23, 2025 7.45pm
5
2
HT : 1 0
ET Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Joachim Andersen 38' goal
  • Ruben Dias 50' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 72' goal
  • Diogo Jota 75' yellowcard
  • Francisco Trincao 86' goal
  • Francisco Trincao 91' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 115' goal
  • yellowcard Christian Eriksen 50'
  • goal Rasmus Kristensen 56'
  • yellowcard Christian Norgaard 66'
  • goal Christian Eriksen 76'
  • yellowcard Joachim Andersen 105'+3'
  • yellowcard Jannik Vestergaard 120'+1'
Nations League
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parken
  • Rasmus Hojlund 78' goal
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 57'
  • yellowcard Vitinha 59'
European Championship
Oct 8, 2015 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joao Moutinho 66' goal
  • Rui Patricio 82' yellowcard
  • Danilo 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pierre Hojbjerg 25'
  • yellowcard Christian Eriksen 43'
  • yellowcard Daniel Wass 68'
European Championship
Oct 14, 2014 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Cristiano Ronaldo 92'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 95'
European Championship
Jun 13, 2012 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT