/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fdenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fwallog.png)
-
Joakim Maehle
35'
-
Ben Davies
53'
-
Gustav Isaksen
66'
-
Chris Mepham
48'
-
Brennan Johnson
65'
Denmark vs Wales - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F09%2Ficonsport-375364-0069-6aba48e4044cf389310272.jpg)
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F03%2Fdenmark-manager-brian-riemer-during-the-game-against-scotland-on-september-5-2025-susa-69c19d954538c303204598.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 61.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.32% and a win for Wales had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%) , while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result
Denmark
61.22%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
21.32%
▼
(-0.02)
Wales
17.42%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
47.31%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.08%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
22.92%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 2.5
54.9%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
45.1%
Over 3.5
32.31%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
67.69%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
21.37%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
78.63%
▲
(+0.02)
First Half Winner
Denmark
43.39%
▼
(-0.16)
Draw
35.23%
▲
(+0.10)
Wales
21.38%
▲
(+0.06)
Team To Score First
Denmark
60.74%
▲
(+0.03)
No Goal
6.46%
▼
(-0.01)
Wales
32.8%
▼
(-0.02)
Corners
Over 8
61.09%
▲
(+0.06)
Equal 8
9.46%
Under 8
29.46%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 9
51.17%
▲
(+0.06)
Equal 9
9.92%
Under 9
38.91%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 10.5
41.48%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 10.5
58.52%
▼
(-0.04)
Denmark Goals
Over 1.5
56.69%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
43.31%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 2.5
31.15%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
68.85%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
14.67%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
85.33%
▼
(-0.02)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5
50.22%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
49.78%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
20.25%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
79.75%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 2.5
6.9%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
93.1%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
1.98%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
98.02%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Denmark
61.22%
Draw
21.32%
Wales
17.41%
Denmark
1-0
@
11.33%
▼
(-0.02)
2-0 @ 10.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6%
Other @ 14.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 61.22%
2-0 @ 10.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6%
Other @ 14.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 61.22%
Draw
1-1
@
9.54%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 21.32%
0-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 21.32%
Wales
0-1
@
5.08%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 17.41%
1-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 17.41%
