Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2026 5.00pm
Parken

Denmark vs Wales - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Norway 3 - 2 Denmark

Wales

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Portugal 1 - 0 Wales

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Denmark win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Wales has a probability of 24.35% and a draw has a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Wales win is 0-1 (6.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.9%).

Result

Denmark 53.37% ▼ (-0.91)
Draw 22.28% ▼ (-0.13)
Wales 24.35% ▲ (+1.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.56% ▲ (+1.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.88% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 1.5 23.12% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 2.5 54.83% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 2.5 45.17% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 3.5 32.48% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 3.5 67.52% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 4.5 20.74% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 4.5 79.26% ▼ (-0.27)

First Half Winner

Denmark 38.18% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 37.86% ▲ (+0.25)
Wales 23.96% ▼ (-0.35)

Team To Score First

Denmark 58.71% ▲ (+0.89)
No Goal 6.51% ▼ (-0.19)
Wales 34.78% ▼ (-0.70)

Corners

Over 8 59.28% ▼ (-2.98)
Equal 8 9.73% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 8 31% ▲ (+3.18)
Over 9 49.2% ▼ (-2.59)
Equal 9 10.07% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 9 40.72% ▲ (+2.98)
Over 10.5 39.51% ▼ (-2.07)
Under 10.5 60.49% ▲ (+2.07)

Denmark Goals

Over 1.5 50.97% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 1.5 49.03% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 2.5 26.05% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 2.5 73.95% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 3.5 11.38% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 88.62% ▼ (-0.22)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5 57.07% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 0.5 42.93% ▼ (-0.86)
Over 1.5 26.88% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 1.5 73.12% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 2.5 10.94% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 89.06% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 3.59% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.41% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Denmark 53.37%
Draw 22.27%
Wales 24.34%
Denmark
1-0 @ 10.54% ▼ (-0.55)
2-1 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.27)
2-0 @ 9% ▼ (-0.50)
3-0 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 11.05% ▲ (+0.24)
Total : 53.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.19)
0-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.27%
Wales
0-1 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.30)
1-2 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.21)
0-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.34%

Head to Head

European Championship
Jun 26, 2021 5.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Joe Rodon 26' yellowcard
  • Kieffer Moore 40' yellowcard
  • David Brooks 80' yellowcard
  • Harry Wilson 90' redcard
  • Gareth Bale 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Kasper Dolberg 27'
  • goal Kasper Dolberg 48'
  • goal Joakim Maehle 88'
  • goal Martin Braithwaite 90'+4'
Nations League
Nov 16, 2018 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Paul Dummett 38' yellowcard
  • Tom Lawrence 77' yellowcard
  • Ethan Ampadu 86' yellowcard
  • Ashley Williams 87' yellowcard
  • Gareth Bale 89' goal
  • goal Nicolai Jorgensen 42'
  • yellowcard Henrik Dalsgaard 52'
  • yellowcard Thomas Delaney 82'
  • yellowcard Kasper Dolberg 85'
  • yellowcard Mathias Jorgensen 87'
  • goal Martin Braithwaite 88'
  • yellowcard Kasper Schmeichel 90'
Nations League
Sep 9, 2018 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Christian Eriksen 32' goal
  • Christian Eriksen 63' goal
  • Kasper Schmeichel 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Davies 77'
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 90'