Europa League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • William Gomes 11' goal
  • Alberto Costa 19' yellowcard
  • Victor Froholdt 59' yellowcard
  • Deniz Gül 59' yellowcard
  • Pepê 59' yellowcard
  • Alan Varela 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • goal Martim Fernandes 13' (OG)
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenković 46'
  • yellowcard Igor Jesus 46'
  • yellowcard Omari Hutchinson  60'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 61'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangaré 74'

Porto vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.81% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 20.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.03%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%) , while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

Porto 56.66% (+0.07)
Draw 22.81% (-0.07)
Nottingham Forest 20.53% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.43% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.53% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 22.47% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 54.18% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 45.82% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 31.44% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 68.56% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 18.89% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 81.11% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Porto 42.44%
Draw 37.74%
Nottingham Forest 19.82%

Team To Score First

Porto 61.25% (+0.12)
No Goal 5.9% (-0.09)
Nottingham Forest 32.85% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 54.82% (+0.58)
Equal 8 11.4% (+0.02)
Under 8 33.78% (-0.58)
Over 9 43.46% (+0.50)
Equal 9 11.35% (+0.07)
Under 9 45.18% (-0.58)
Over 10.5 33.05% (+0.40)
Under 10.5 66.95% (-0.40)

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 53.48% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 46.52% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 27.21% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 72.79% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 11.15% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 88.85% (-0.11)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 56.39% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 43.61% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 24.11% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 75.89% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 7.6% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.4% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.09% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.91% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Porto 56.67%
Draw 22.79%
Nottingham Forest 20.51%
Porto
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 10.03%
2-0 @ 9.66% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.11% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.79% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.17% (+0.03)
Other @ 11.02% (+0.11)
Total : 56.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.96% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.79%
Nottingham Forest
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.48% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.78% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.96% (+0.03)
Total : 20.51%

Head to Head

Europa League
Oct 23, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT

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