-
Francesco Farioli
86'
-
Pablo Rosario
90'+3'
-
Josko Gvardiol 37'
-
Erling Haaland 47'
-
Gianluigi Donnarumma 49'
-
Erling Haaland 90'+1'
-
Erling Haaland 90'+3'
Porto vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
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The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 0-1 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result
Porto
44.91%
▲
(+0.15)
Draw
23.1%
▼
(-0.05)
Manchester City
31.99%
▼
(-0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
55.35%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.55%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
22.45%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
54.47%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
45.53%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
31.18%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
68.82%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
18.4%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
81.6%
▼
(-0.07)
First Half Winner
Porto
34.77%
Draw
39.8%
▲
(+0.05)
Manchester City
25.43%
▼
(-0.06)
Team To Score First
Porto
61.54%
▲
(+0.14)
No Goal
5.79%
▼
(-0.02)
Manchester City
32.67%
▼
(-0.11)
Corners
Over 8
52%
▲
(+0.07)
Equal 8
11.38%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 8
36.62%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 9
40.91%
▲
(+0.08)
Equal 9
11.09%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 9
48%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 10.5
30.94%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 10.5
69.06%
▼
(-0.10)
Porto Goals
Over 1.5
44.17%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
55.83%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 2.5
20.19%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
79.81%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
7.27%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
92.73%
▼
(-0.07)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
66.5%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
33.5%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
33.79%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
66.21%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 2.5
13.61%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
86.39%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
4.5%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
95.5%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Porto
44.92%
Draw
23.1%
Manchester City
31.99%
Porto
2-1
@
9.5%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.3%
2-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.59%
3-0 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 44.92%
1-0 @ 9.3%
2-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.59%
3-0 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 44.92%
Draw
1-1
@
11.25%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.1%
0-0 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.1%
Manchester City
0-1
@
7.37%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 31.99%
1-2 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 31.99%
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