Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Francesco Farioli 86' yellowcard
  • Pablo Rosario 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josko Gvardiol 37'
  • goal Erling Haaland 47'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 49'
  • goal Erling Haaland 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Erling Haaland 90'+3'

Porto vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Manchester City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 0-1 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Porto 44.91% (+0.15)
Draw 23.1% (-0.05)
Manchester City 31.99% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.35% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.55% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.45% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 54.47% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 45.53% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 31.18% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.82% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.4% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 81.6% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Porto 34.77%
Draw 39.8% (+0.05)
Manchester City 25.43% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Porto 61.54% (+0.14)
No Goal 5.79% (-0.02)
Manchester City 32.67% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 52% (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.38% (-0.03)
Under 8 36.62% (-0.04)
Over 9 40.91% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.09% (-0.02)
Under 9 48% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 30.94% (+0.09)
Under 10.5 69.06% (-0.10)

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 44.17% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 55.83% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 20.19% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 79.81% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 7.27% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 92.73% (-0.07)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 66.5% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 33.5% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 33.79% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 66.21% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 13.61% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 86.39% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.5% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.5% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Porto 44.92%
Draw 23.1%
Manchester City 31.99%
Porto
2-1 @ 9.5% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.3%
2-0 @ 7.04% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.59%
3-0 @ 4.15% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.23% (+0.08)
Total : 44.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 23.1%
Manchester City
0-1 @ 7.37% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.79% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.46% (-0.01)
Total : 31.99%

Head to Head

Champions League
Dec 1, 2020 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Moussa Marega 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodri 51'
Champions League
Oct 21, 2020 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Sergio Aguero 21' goal
  • Kyle Walker 28' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 34' yellowcard
  • Joao Cancelo 36' yellowcard
  • Ilkay Gundogan 65' goal
  • Eric Garcia 67' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 73' goal
  • Fernandinho 90' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Diaz 14'
  • yellowcard Pepe 84'

Build-up

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