World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 26, 2026 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT San Francisco Bay Area Stadium
  • Diego Gómez 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jackson Irvine 46'
  • yellowcard Jackson Irvine 47'

Paraguay vs Australia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

Feature

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 20, 2026 4.00am
Turkey 0 - 1 Paraguay

Australia

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 19, 2026 8.00pm
USA 2 - 0 Australia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 27.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Australia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 1-0 (10.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Paraguay 36% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 27.05% ▼ (-0.06)
Australia 36.95% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.9% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 29.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 44.7% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 55.3% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 23.5% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 76.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 12.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.86% ▼ (-0.02)

Paraguay Goals

Over 1.5 33.28% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 66.72% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 12.18% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 87.82% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 3.56% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 96.44% ▼ (-0.05)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5 68.48% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 31.52% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 34.1% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 65.9% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 12.78% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 87.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.13% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Paraguay 36.01%
Draw 27.05%
Australia 36.95%
Paraguay
1-0 @ 10.46% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 36.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 27.05%
Australia
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 7.96%
0-2 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 36.95%

Build-up

Head to head
How to watch
Predicted Lineups