CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Nov 19, 2024 at 2am UK

Estadio Rommel Fernandez Gutierrez

Panama
2 - 2
Costa Rica

Blackman (14', 14'), Luis Rodriguez (45+3', 45+3')
Guerrero (90+2'), Guerrero (90+2')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Bran (24', 24'), Martinez (73', 73')
Calvo (9'), Calvo (9'), Mitchell (56'), Mitchell (56'), Ugalde (78'), Ugalde (78'), Campbell (79'), Campbell (79'), Campbell (80'), Campbell (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Panama and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Panama
Friday, November 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	3	8	9
2	Panama	3	1	6
3	USA	3	0	3
4	Bolivia	3	-9	0

Costa Rica

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Panama
Friday, November 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Colombia	3	4	7
2	Brazil	3	3	5
3	Costa Rica	3	-2	4
4	Paraguay	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Panama	Draw	Costa Rica
53.81% ( -0.31)	25.11% ( 0.03)	21.07% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 47.03% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.23% (

0.19)

54.77% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.92% (

0.15)

76.08% (

-0.15)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.66% (

-0.05)

20.34% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.26% (

-0.08)

52.74% (

0.08)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.04% (

0.4)

40.96% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.48% (

0.36)

77.52% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Panama 53.8%

Costa Rica 21.07%

Draw 25.11%

Panama	Draw	Costa Rica
1-0 @ 13.26% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 53.8%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.22% Total : 21.07%