Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Ullevaal Stadion
  • Julian Ryerson 16' yellowcard
  • Fredrik Aursnes 47' yellowcard
  • Erling Haaland 51' goal
  • Kristoffer Ajer 65' yellowcard
  • goal João Félix 17'
  • yellowcard Jorge Jesus 20'
  • yellowcard João Palhinha 49'
  • goal Gonçalo Ramos 54'
  • yellowcard Renato Veiga 67'
  • yellowcard Vitinha 76'
  • yellowcard João Cancelo 76'
  • yellowcard Rúben Dias 87'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 90'+3'

Norway vs Portugal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Norway 3 - 2 Denmark

Portugal

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Portugal 1 - 0 Wales

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Norway had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.1%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Norway win was 2-1 (6.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Norway 33.89% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 20.9% ▼ (-0.22)
Portugal 45.22% ▲ (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.22%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.06% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 14.94% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 67.16% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 32.84% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 45.09% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 54.91% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 4.5 30.09% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 4.5 69.91% ▼ (-0.24)

First Half Winner

Norway 27.42% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 38.22% ▼ (-0.15)
Portugal 34.36% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Norway 42.86% ▼ (-0.50)
No Goal 3.53% ▼ (-0.06)
Portugal 53.61% ▲ (+0.54)

Corners

Over 8 44.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 12.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 43.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 33.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 55.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 23.99% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 10.5 76.01% ▲ (+0.03)

Norway Goals

Over 1.5 41.75% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 58.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 20.82% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 79.18% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 8.85% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 91.15% ▼ (-0.09)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5 76.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 51.32% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 48.68% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 27.22% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 72.78% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 11.73% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 88.27% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Norway 33.89%
Draw 20.9%
Portugal 45.22%
Norway
2-1 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 33.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 20.9%
Portugal
1-2 @ 8.81% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 11.21% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 45.22%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
May 29, 2016 8.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ricardo Quaresma 13' goal
  • Raphael Guerreiro 65' goal
  • Eder 71' goal