UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Nov 17, 2024 at 5pm UK

Ullevaal Stadion

Norway
5 - 0
Kazakhstan

Haaland (23', 37', 71'), Sorloth (41'), Nusa (76')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Aymbetov (43'), Zhaksylykov (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Norway and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Slovenia 1-4 Norway
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-2 Austria
Thursday, November 14 at 3pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 82.13%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 5.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.63%) and 1-0 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.88%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (2.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
Norway	Draw	Kazakhstan
82.13% ( -1.63)	12.43% ( 0.88)	5.44% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 39.55% (

2.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.5% (

-0.5)

37.51% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.27% (

-0.54)

59.73% (

0.54)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.08% (

-0.44)

6.93% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.59% (

-1.19)

25.42% (

1.2)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.5% (

2.44)

57.51% (

-2.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.68% (

1.3)

89.32% (

-1.3)

Score Analysis

Norway 82.12%

Kazakhstan 5.44%

Draw 12.43%

Norway	Draw	Kazakhstan
2-0 @ 14.19% ( -0.35) 3-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.63) 1-0 @ 10.63% 4-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.64) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.46) 5-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 2% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.1) 6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.4% Total : 82.12%	1-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.44) 0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.27) Other @ 0.39% Total : 12.43%	0-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.24) Other @ 1.61% Total : 5.44%