Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
LIVE Puskás Aréna
  • Milos Kerkez 35' goal
  • yellowcard Otar Kiteishvili 33'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Kochorashvili 67'

Hungary vs Georgia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Hungary 0 - 1 Ukraine

Georgia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Georgia 0 - 1 N. Ireland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hungary win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Georgia has a probability of 26.13% and a draw has a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Georgia win is 0-1 (7.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.32%).

Result

Hungary 49.81% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 24.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Georgia 26.13% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.87% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.16% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.84% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 51.51% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 48.49% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 28.87% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 71.09% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 16.6% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 83.4% ▼ (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Hungary 33.62%
Draw 42.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Georgia 23.57% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Hungary 51.5% ▲ (+0.07)
No Goal 6.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Georgia 41.55% ▼ (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 54.7%
Equal 8 11.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 33.74%
Over 9 43.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.49%
Under 9 45.3%
Over 10.5 32.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 67.29% ▼ (-0.01)

Hungary Goals

Over 1.5 46.73% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 53.27% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 22.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.52%
Under 3.5 91.48%

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5 60.59% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 39.41% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 27.33% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 72.67% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 9.53% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 90.47% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 2.81% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.19% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Hungary 49.81%
Draw 24.04%
Georgia 26.12%
Hungary
1-0 @ 10.56% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.05%
3-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 49.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.04%
Georgia
0-1 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 26.12%