Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.41% and a win for Bahrain had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%) , while for a Bahrain win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.