Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Kyrgyzstan win was 1-0 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.