Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 5.00pm
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena

Georgia vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Georgia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Georgia 0 - 1 N. Ireland

Ukraine

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Hungary 0 - 1 Ukraine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Georgia win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Ukraine has a probability of 26.4% and a draw has a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Ukraine win is 0-1 (6.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.04%).

Result

Georgia 49.64% ▼ (-2.47)
Draw 23.96%
Ukraine 26.4% ▲ (+2.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.85% ▲ (+0.82)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.33% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 1.5 22.67% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 2.5 54.62% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 2.5 45.38% ▼ (-0.53)
Over 3.5 32.39% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 3.5 67.61% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 4.5 19.15% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 4.5 80.85% ▼ (-0.25)

First Half Winner

Georgia 42.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 40.12% ▼ (-0.13)
Ukraine 17.66% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Georgia 63.35% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 6.36% ▼ (-0.17)
Ukraine 30.29% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 46.7% ▲ (+0.20)
Equal 8 12.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 41.22% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 9 35.46% ▲ (+0.18)
Equal 9 11.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 53.3% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 10.5 25.83% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 10.5 74.17% ▼ (-0.15)

Georgia Goals

Over 1.5 48.63% ▼ (-1.65)
Under 1.5 51.37% ▲ (+1.65)
Over 2.5 24.21% ▼ (-1.22)
Under 2.5 75.79% ▲ (+1.23)
Over 3.5 9.59% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 3.5 90.41% ▲ (+0.63)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5 61.81% ▲ (+2.18)
Under 0.5 38.19% ▼ (-2.18)
Over 1.5 29.29% ▲ (+2.41)
Under 1.5 70.71% ▼ (-2.42)
Over 2.5 10.84% ▲ (+1.50)
Under 2.5 89.16% ▼ (-1.50)
Over 3.5 3.52% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 3.5 96.48% ▼ (-0.65)

Score analysis

Georgia 49.65%
Draw 23.96%
Ukraine 26.4%
Georgia
1-0 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.45)
2-1 @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.53)
3-1 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.25)
3-0 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.38)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.63)
Total : 49.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.96%
Ukraine
0-1 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.21)
1-2 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.40)
0-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.41)
1-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.34)
2-3 @ 2% ▲ (+0.19)
0-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.30)
Other @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.65)
Total : 26.4%

Head to Head

Nations League
Nov 16, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Baumit Arena
  • Luka Lochoshvili 31' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Gocholeishvili 70' yellowcard
  • Georges Mikautadze 76' goal
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Zubkov 3'
  • goal Saba Kverkvelia 7' (OG)
  • yellowcard Mykola Shaparenko 52'
  • yellowcard Vitaliy Mykolenko 82'
  • yellowcard Mykhaylo Mudryk 84'
Nations League
Oct 11, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT NSK Olimpijs'kyj
  • Mykola Matviyenko 29' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 35' goal
  • Ivan Kaliuzhnyi 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Yukhym Konoplya 76' yellowcard
  • Maksym Talovierov 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guram Kashia 11'
  • yellowcard Lasha Dvali 39'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Kochorashvili 63'
  • yellowcard Levan Shengelia 69'