Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 66.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.05% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%) , while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.