Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Comoros win was 0-1 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.