International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2026 6.45pm
Puskás Aréna

Hungary vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 6.00pm
Hungary 0 - 0 Greece

Finland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 31, 2026 7.45pm
Germany 4 - 0 Finland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hungary win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw has a probability of 23.43% and a win for Finland has a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.72%) , while for a Finland win it is 0-1 (6.4%).

Result

Hungary 56.88% (+0.77)
Draw 23.43% (-0.56)
Finland 19.68% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.49% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.95% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 26.05% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 49.96% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 50.04% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 28.39% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 71.61% (-0.60)
Over 4.5 16.74% (+0.52)
Under 4.5 83.26% (-0.52)

First Half Winner

Hungary 40.44% (-1.86)
Draw 41.68% (+1.08)
Finland 17.88% (+0.79)

Team To Score First

Hungary 60.12% (-1.13)
No Goal 7.37% (-0.27)
Finland 32.51% (+1.39)

Corners

Over 8 60.75% (-3.16)
Equal 8 10.92% (-0.17)
Under 8 28.33% (+3.32)
Over 9 49.37% (-2.66)
Equal 9 11.38% (-0.51)
Under 9 39.25% (+3.16)
Over 10.5 38.47% (-1.93)
Under 10.5 61.53% (+1.93)

Hungary Goals

Over 1.5 51.28% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 48.72% (-0.65)
Over 2.5 25.39% (+0.74)
Under 2.5 74.61% (-0.74)
Over 3.5 10.42% (+0.53)
Under 3.5 89.58% (-0.54)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 53.77% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 46.23% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 21.45% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 78.55% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 6.02% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 93.98% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.47% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.53% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Hungary 56.88%
Draw 23.43%
Finland 19.69%
Hungary
1-0 @ 12.28% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.36% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.85% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.56% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 2.82%
Other @ 10.37% (+0.55)
Total : 56.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 7.37% (-0.27)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.03)
Total : 23.43%
Finland
0-1 @ 6.4% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.91% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.42% (+0.02)
Total : 19.69%

Head to Head

Nations League
Nov 18, 2018 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Adam Szalai 29' goal
  • Adam Nagy 37' goal
  • Botond Barath 42' yellowcard
  • Adam Lang 75' yellowcard
  • Zsolt Kalmar 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Albin Granlund 17'
  • yellowcard Robin Lod 86'
Nations League
Sep 8, 2018 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Teemu Pukki 7' goal
  • Jere Uronen 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Szalai 45'
  • yellowcard Attila Fiola 59'
  • yellowcard Gergo Lovrencsics 63'
  • yellowcard Tamas Kadar 68'
European Championship
Jun 13, 2015 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Riku Riski 55' yellowcard
  • Tim Sparv 80' yellowcard
  • Markus Halsti 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Lang 56'
  • yellowcard Zoltan Gera 64'
  • yellowcard Balazs Dzsudzsak 81'
  • goal Zoltan Stieber 82'
  • yellowcard Roland Juhasz 82'
  • yellowcard Zoltan Stieber 83'
European Championship
Nov 14, 2014 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daniel Tozser 35' yellowcard
  • Akos Elek 58' yellowcard
  • Balazs Dzsudzsak 76' yellowcard
  • Zoltan Gera 84' goal
  • yellowcard Jarkko Hurme 54'