Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 7.45pm
Windsor Park

Northern Ireland vs Hungary - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Northern Ireland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Georgia 0 - 1 N. Ireland

Hungary

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Hungary 0 - 1 Ukraine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hungary win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Northern Ireland has a probability of 32.7% and a draw has a probability of 26.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win is 1-0 (8.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.55%).

Result

Northern Ireland 32.7% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 26.81% ▲ (+0.17)
Hungary 40.49% ▼ (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.12% ▼ (-0.63)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.55% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 1.5 27.45% ▲ (+0.60)
Over 2.5 48.11% ▼ (-0.87)
Under 2.5 51.89% ▲ (+0.87)
Over 3.5 26.47% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 3.5 73.53% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 4.5 14.64% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 4.5 85.36% ▲ (+0.63)

First Half Winner

Northern Ireland 22.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 41.67% ▲ (+0.10)
Hungary 35.54% ▼ (-0.17)

Team To Score First

Northern Ireland 42.02% ▲ (+0.31)
No Goal 7.77% ▲ (+0.19)
Hungary 50.21% ▼ (-0.50)

Corners

Over 8 43.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 45.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 33.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 10.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 56.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 24.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 75.6% ▼ (-0.03)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 1.5 32.77% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 1.5 67.23% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 2.5 12.44% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 87.56% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 3.99% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 96.01% ▲ (+0.15)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5 72.1% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 0.5 27.9% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 1.5 38.14% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 1.5 61.86% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 2.5 15.99% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 2.5 84.01% ▲ (+0.55)
Over 3.5 5.4% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 3.5 94.6% ▲ (+0.29)

Score analysis

Northern Ireland 32.7%
Draw 26.81%
Hungary 40.47%
Northern Ireland
1-0 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.20)
2-1 @ 7.57% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 32.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.81%
Hungary
0-1 @ 10.74% ▲ (+0.21)
1-2 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.29)
Total : 40.47%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Craig Cathcart 27' yellowcard
  • Steven Davis 58' yellowcard
  • George Saville 84' yellowcard
  • Stuart Dallas 85' yellowcard
  • goal Roland Sallai 56'
  • yellowcard Roland Sallai 56'
  • yellowcard Adam Lang 74'
  • yellowcard Adam Nagy 85'
European Championship
Sep 7, 2015 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kyle Lafferty 10' yellowcard
  • Conor McLaughlin 72' yellowcard
  • Chris Baird 81' yellowcard
  • Chris Baird 81' redcard
  • Kyle Lafferty 93' goal
  • yellowcard Richard Guzmics 19'
  • yellowcard Leandro De Almeida 41'
  • goal Richard Guzmics 74'
  • yellowcard Tamas Priskin 84'
  • yellowcard Krisztian Nemeth 89'
European Championship
Sep 7, 2014 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Vilmos Vanczak 35' yellowcard
  • Tamas Priskin 75' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Norwood 44'
  • goal Niall McGinn 81'
  • goal Kyle Lafferty 88'