Nations League Gameweek 6
Nov 16, 2026 5.00pm
A. Le Coq Arena

Estonia vs Bulgaria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

All competitions

Bulgaria

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estonia win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Bulgaria has a probability of 33.67% and a draw has a probability of 26.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Bulgaria win is 0-1 (8.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.43%).

Result

Estonia 40.04% ▼ (-0.28)
Draw 26.28% ▲ (+0.24)
Bulgaria 33.67%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.34% ▼ (-0.74)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.86% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 1.5 26.14% ▲ (+0.70)
Over 2.5 49.23% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 2.5 50.77% ▲ (+0.93)
Over 3.5 27.68% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 3.5 72.32% ▲ (+0.81)
Over 4.5 15.58% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 4.5 84.42% ▲ (+0.57)

First Half Winner

Estonia 30.36%
Draw 40.27%
Bulgaria 29.37%

Team To Score First

Estonia 46.83% ▼ (-0.14)
No Goal 7.49% ▲ (+0.26)
Bulgaria 45.68% ▼ (-0.14)

Corners

Over 8 43.8%
Equal 8 11.84%
Under 8 44.36%
Over 9 33%
Equal 9 10.8%
Under 9 56.2%
Over 10.5 23.9%
Under 10.5 76.1%

Estonia Goals

Over 1.5 38.95% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 1.5 61.05% ▲ (+0.67)
Over 2.5 16.72% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 2.5 83.28% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 3.5 5.98% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 94.02% ▲ (+0.22)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5 66.85% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 33.15% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 33.52% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 1.5 66.48% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 2.5 13.12% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 86.88% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 3.5 4.04% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 95.96% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Estonia 40.05%
Draw 26.28%
Bulgaria 33.68%
Estonia
1-0 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.19)
2-1 @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.21)
Total : 40.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.28%
Bulgaria
0-1 @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.23)
1-2 @ 7.6% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 33.68%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Hristo Botev
  • Dimitar Velkovski 9' yellowcard
  • Borislav Tsonev 37' yellowcard
  • Kristian Dimitrov  89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maksim Paskotsi 48'
  • yellowcard Patrik Kristal 89'