Nations League Gameweek 5
Nov 13, 2026 7.45pm
Stade de Luxembourg

Luxembourg vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions

Estonia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luxembourg win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Estonia has a probability of 32.03% and a draw has a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Estonia win is 0-1 (8.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.7%).

Result

Luxembourg 42.45% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 25.52%
Estonia 32.03%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.17% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.02% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 26.98% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 48.6% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 51.4% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 27.05% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 72.95% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 15.21% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 84.79% ▼ (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Luxembourg 33.27%
Draw 41.86%
Estonia 24.87%

Team To Score First

Luxembourg 47.99% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 7.92% ▼ (-0.03)
Estonia 44.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 53.31%
Equal 8 12.03%
Under 8 34.66%
Over 9 41.49%
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 46.69%
Over 10.5 30.84%
Under 10.5 69.17%

Luxembourg Goals

Over 1.5 40.19% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 59.81% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 17.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.85% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.04% ▼ (-0.02)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5 65% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 35% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 31.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 68.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 88% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.69% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.31% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Luxembourg 42.44%
Draw 25.53%
Estonia 32.02%
Luxembourg
1-0 @ 10.43%
2-1 @ 8.55%
2-0 @ 7.52%
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 42.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.53%
Estonia
0-1 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 32.02%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sportland Arena
  • Rasmus Peetson  5' goal
  • Jurgen Henn 43' yellowcard
  • Märten Kuusk 73' yellowcard
  • Karol Mets 82' yellowcard
  • Markus Poom 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enes Mahmutovic 29'
  • yellowcard Omar Natami 68'
  • yellowcard Vahid Selimovic 78'
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 84'
  • yellowcard Eldin Dzogovic 85'
  • yellowcard Vincent Thill 85'
  • yellowcard Mathias Olesen  87'
International Friendlies
Oct 7, 2018 6.00pm
Stade am Petz (Weidingen)