National League
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Aidan Barlow 67' yellowcard
  • Ian Henderson 67' yellowcard
  • Casey Pettit 67' yellowcard
  • Joe Pritchard 76' yellowcard
  • Tyler Smith 84' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Batty 70'
  • yellowcard Ryan Fallowfield 70'
  • yellowcard Joe Grey 70'
  • yellowcard Callum Howe 75'
  • yellowcard Greg Olley 88'
  • goal Josh Stones 90'+13'

Rochdale vs York City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 5.30pm
Braintree 1 - 2 Rochdale
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe

York City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 5.30pm
York City 3 - 0 Yeovil
Goals scored
108
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for York City had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result

Rochdale 37.69% (+0.01)
Draw 25.38% (+0.06)
York City 36.87% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.82% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.87% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 23.13% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 54.17% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 45.83% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 30.77% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 69.23% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.35% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 82.65% (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Rochdale 30.71% (+0.72)
Draw 40.24% (+0.27)
York City 29.05% (-0.97)

Team To Score First

Rochdale 50.61% (+0.90)
No Goal 6.26% (-0.01)
York City 43.13% (-0.88)

Corners

Over 8 49.07% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.43% (-0.05)
Under 8 39.49% (-0.04)
Over 9 38.17% (+0.11)
Equal 9 10.9% (-0.03)
Under 9 50.93% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 28.57% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 71.43% (-0.11)

Rochdale Goals

Over 1.5 39.03% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.97% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.18% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 83.82% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.31% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 94.69% (+0.10)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 71.1% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 28.9% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 38.92%
Under 1.5 61.08%
Over 2.5 16.87% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 83.13% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 5.47% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.53% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Rochdale 37.68%
Draw 25.38%
York City 36.89%
Rochdale
1-0 @ 8.85% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 5.62% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 3.75% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.56%
Other @ 5.06% (-0.10)
Total : 37.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.25% (-0.02)
Total : 25.38%
York City
1-2 @ 8.4% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.97%
0-3 @ 3.17% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.22% (-0.05)
Total : 36.89%

Head to Head

National League
Nov 11, 2025 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 27
Mar 25, 2025 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Spotland Stadium
  • Liam Hogan 64' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Pearce 23'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Sinclair 27'
  • goal Lewis Richardson 62'
  • goal Ollie Pearce 69'
  • goal Ryan Fallowfield 75'
  • yellowcard Alex Hunt 80'
National League Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Lner Community Stadium
  • Ricky Aguiar 4' goal
  • Callum Howe 54' yellowcard
  • Marvin Armstrong 62' yellowcard
  • Darragh O'Connor 69' yellowcard
  • Alex Hunt 76' yellowcard
  • Lenell John-Lewis 84' yellowcard
  • Harrison Male 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Ebanks-Landell 6'
National League Gameweek 24
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Jimmy Keohane 17' yellowcard
  • Ethan Ebanks-Landell 24' yellowcard
  • Harvey Gilmour 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Woodyard 41'
National League Gameweek 6
Aug 28, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Lner Community Stadium
  • Daniel Batty 11' yellowcard
  • Callum Howe 35' yellowcard
  • Tyler Cordner 36' yellowcard
  • Adam Crookes 52' redcard
  • Ryan Fallowfield 53' yellowcard
  • Adam Crookes 45'+11' goal
  • Olly Dyson 81' yellowcard
  • goal Tyrese Sinclair 36'
  • yellowcard Cameron John 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Kwaku Oduroh 45'+6'
  • goal Tyrese Sinclair 53'
  • yellowcard Max Taylor 85'
  • goal Ian Henderson 87'
  • yellowcard Louie Moulden 90'+6'
League Two
Apr 5, 2014 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matt Done 40' yellowcard
  • Joe Rafferty 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keith Lowe 81'