Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for York City had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.