Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 71.43%. A draw had a probability of 16.98% and a win for Woking had a probability of 11.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%) , while for a Woking win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.