Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 84.72%. A draw had a probability of 10.15% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 5.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.63%) , while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (1.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.