Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.