Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 81.71%. A draw had a probability of 11.89% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 6.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.44%) , while for a Altrincham win it was 0-1 (1.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.