Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.28% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.11%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%) , while for a Boston United win it was 2-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.