Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 59.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.87% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.99%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%) , while for a Tamworth win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.