National League Gameweek 44
Apr 11, 2026 12.30pm
The Lamb Ground

Tamworth vs York City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Halifax 2 - 2 Tamworth
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Oliver Lynch

York City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
York City 2 - 1 Altrincham
Goals scored
103
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a York City win with a probability of 59.04%. A draw has a probability of 21.87% and a win for Tamworth has a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.99%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.18%) , while for a Tamworth win it is 1-0 (5.32%).

Result

Tamworth 19.1% (+0.25)
Draw 21.87% (+0.25)
York City 59.04% (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.59% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.7%
Under 1.5 21.3%
Over 2.5 56.23% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 43.77% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 34.42% (+0.45)
Under 3.5 65.58% (-0.44)
Over 4.5 21.13% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 78.87% (-0.20)

First Half Winner

Tamworth 21.48%
Draw 41.87% (+0.01)
York City 36.65% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Tamworth 33.87% (-0.32)
No Goal 5.49% (-0.02)
York City 60.64% (+0.33)

Corners

Over 8 56.54% (-0.93)
Equal 8 11.41% (+0.20)
Under 8 32.05% (+0.72)
Over 9 45.03% (-1.04)
Equal 9 11.51% (+0.12)
Under 9 43.46% (+0.93)
Over 10.5 34.35% (-1.08)
Under 10.5 65.65% (+1.08)

Tamworth Goals

Over 1.5 23.42% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 76.58% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 7.25% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 92.75% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 1.97% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 98.03% (-0.13)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 83.92% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 16.08% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 56.38% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 43.62% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 29.99% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 70.01% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 13.18% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 86.82% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Tamworth 19.09%
Draw 21.86%
York City 59.05%
Tamworth
1-0 @ 5.32% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 2.62% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 1.88% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 1.63% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.87% (+0.11)
Total : 19.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.18% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.49% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.1% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.1% (+0.03)
Total : 21.86%
York City
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.99% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 9.67% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 6.32% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 6.04% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 3.46% (+0.05)
Other @ 13.08% (-0.09)
Total : 59.05%

Head to Head

National League
Sep 9, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
HT
National League Gameweek 22
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Lamb Ground
  • Tom Tonks 37' yellowcard
  • Ben Crompton 59' yellowcard
  • Dan Creaney 62' yellowcard
  • Jordan Cullinane-Liburd 63' yellowcard
  • Jordan Cullinane-Liburd 90' goal
  • goal Ollie Pearce 17'
  • yellowcard Ricky Aguiar 41'
  • yellowcard Alex Hunt 69'
  • yellowcard Marvin Armstrong 79'
  • yellowcard Dipo Akinyemi 82'
National League Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lner Community Stadium
  • Tyrese Sinclair 30' yellowcard
  • Cameron John 51' yellowcard
  • Ollie Pearce 54' goal
  • Billy Chadwick 56' goal
  • yellowcard George Morrison 35'
  • yellowcard Jordan Cullinane-Liburd 54'
  • yellowcard Jasbir Singh 55'
  • yellowcard Kyle Finn 63'
  • yellowcard Tom Tonks 88'