Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Solihull Moors win was 0-1 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.