Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-2 (6.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.